NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35286cd1d09e37ad1eac3daa1ffcaf5fcd1cc23ae8f31098add5483266e57364
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Cavaliers, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $615,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $617,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 541 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Cavaliers | 18c | 50,503$8,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,846.7 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Celtics | 78c | 35,302$27,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,839.71 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Celtics | 76c | 22,445$17,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,364.19 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Cavaliers | 15c | 19,196$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.09 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Cavaliers | 12c | 18,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Cavaliers | 5c | 16,923$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.97 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Cavaliers | 36c | 16,258$5,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,848.61 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Celtics | 64c | 16,098$10,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,762.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Celtics | 69c | 14,726$10,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,565.08 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Cavaliers | 17c | 14,067$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.17 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Cavaliers | 36c | 13,476$4,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,849 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cavaliers | 2c | 10,262$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.69 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Celtics | 68c | 10,225$6,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.66 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Cavaliers | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Cavaliers | 30c | 9,730$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.37 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Cavaliers | 38c | 9,551$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.99 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…0f61backed Cavaliers | 14c | 9,401$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.75 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Cavaliers | 27c | 9,026$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.7 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Cavaliers | 6c | 7,941$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.23 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…be1abacked Cavaliers | 10c | 7,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Cavaliers | 17c | 7,114$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.93 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Celtics | 70c | 7,002$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.57 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Celtics | 63c | 6,349$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.69 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8da…785dbacked Cavaliers | 37c | 6,135$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Celtics | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.87 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed Cavaliers | 28c | 5,786$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.37 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Celtics | 77c | 5,300$4,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.58 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…c2bfbacked Celtics | 77c | 5,217$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 73cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Cavaliers | 26c | 5,177$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.92 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c1…8d10backed Cavaliers | 0c | 5,070$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Celtics | 66c | 5,052$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.61 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Cavaliers | 31c | 5,000$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.49 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Celtics | 64c | 4,772$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.84 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers | 35c | 4,170$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.64 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Celtics | 63c | 3,469$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.68 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Cavaliers | 32c | 3,221$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…ff37backed Celtics | 78c | 3,199$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Cavaliers | 21c | 3,000$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.67 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…8dcabacked Cavaliers | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Celtics | 70c | 2,823$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.88 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Cavaliers | 14c | 2,793$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.3 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Cavaliers | 25c | 2,604$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.38 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ec…66f9backed Cavaliers | 34c | 2,588$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cavaliers | 36c | 2,500$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Cavaliers | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Celtics | 66c | 2,500$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.16 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed Celtics | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Celtics | 74c | 2,394$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.87 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…2a44backed Cavaliers | 3c | 2,363$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…879bbacked Celtics | 63c | 2,214$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Celtics | 68c | 2,042$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.44 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…72ebbacked Celtics | 64c | 2,014$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Celtics | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Celtics | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Cavaliers | 35c | 2,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.98 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Cavaliers | 32c | 1,857$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Cavaliers | 14c | 1,815$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.21 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…f839backed Cavaliers | 4c | 1,757$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Celtics | 67c | 1,751$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.88 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…1b8abacked Cavaliers | 1c | 1,644$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Celtics | 65c | 1,630$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.5 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Cavaliers | 36c | 1,600$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9666…5bcfbacked Celtics | 63c | 1,561$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Cavaliers | 32c | 1,536$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.34 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Celtics | 66c | 1,522$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.48 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…334abacked Cavaliers | 27c | 1,500$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.87 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Celtics | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Cavaliers | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Cavaliers | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…fc70backed Celtics | 68c | 1,486$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb00…528abacked Celtics | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…0a27backed Celtics | 66c | 1,445$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…46d2backed Cavaliers | 38c | 1,445$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf83a…6933backed Cavaliers | 35c | 1,268$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Cavaliers | 2c | 1,247$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…4ae4backed Cavaliers | 11c | 1,231$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.97 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Celtics | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.02 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…5308backed Cavaliers | 34c | 1,181$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Celtics | 70c | 1,158$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.43 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Celtics | 75c | 1,149$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.33 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…5e8dbacked Cavaliers | 9c | 1,107$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers | 19c | 1,082$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.62 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…e299backed Celtics | 65c | 1,078$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.46 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…79fbbacked Cavaliers | 37c | 1,078$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Cavaliers | 13c | 1,064$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Cavaliers | 28c | 1,015$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.78 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Celtics | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Cavaliers | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Cavaliers | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…0361backed Cavaliers | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Celtics | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…d2f5backed Cavaliers | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Cavaliers | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…53b3backed Cavaliers | 31c | 999.98$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Celtics | 63c | 999.97$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…74e7backed Cavaliers | 34c | 999.95$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…64a2backed Cavaliers | 29c | 998.22$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Celtics | 64c | 992.75$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.32 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Cavaliers | 35c | 950$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Celtics | 65c | 949.99$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.