TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Champions League Final: 3+ goals?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$587,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$596,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $587,931 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8679…4659backed Yes56c169,786$94,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,488.891070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No43c75,656$32,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,532.0810443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed No45c67,570$30,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,662.553863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes58c42,076$24,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,693.3924742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x659d…c7cfbacked No47c34,318$16,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,129.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59fc…ca0fbacked Yes53c34,318$18,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,129.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4167…2427backed Yes54c29,106$15,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,421.584738.3%18 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked Yes57c27,244$15,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,820.942070%14 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+46%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No47c17,262$8,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,163.9639842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed No42c15,357$6,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,446.8119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.3wins-0.39per pick49cpaid-88.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No45c12,131$5,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,431.9329138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No46c11,813$5,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,43220241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed No43c10,750$4,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,650.86850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabe9…8826backed Yes53c8,500$4,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,035650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+227.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a1…af66backed No43c5,635$2,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.023828.9%11 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc2…0933backed No46c5,105$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.51668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed No41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid+9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No43c4,971$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.717548%36 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x030e…7fbabacked No42c3,571$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Yes52c3,557$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.51747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+306.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes55c3,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.9910845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Yes60c2,695$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.92825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-62.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed No48c2,604$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2502821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-55.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcdeb…1a50backed No42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked No43c2,313$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.17742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x430c…0c89backed Yes54c2,308$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No44c2,186$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.772737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No45c2,160$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.094062.5%25 W · 15 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3476…2e09backed No1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No45c1,936$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No45c1,898$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.625547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed No42c1,649$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.731040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed No41c1,591$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.514062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No47c1,500$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71038048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes60c1,452$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.993464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No47c1,325$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.7510137.6%38 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bae…3a9bbacked No37c1,216$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes51c1,177$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.963545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed No47c1,044$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed No41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4102544%11 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked No45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No45c1,000$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45334449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcafb…05f0backed No41c999.97$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed No49c999.96$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No45c963.1$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.788336.1%30 W · 53 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes76c935.22$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2232250%11 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa147…3fccbacked Yes54c921.55$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.55560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3438…26fabacked No46c887$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes52c884.08$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.364337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…71bcbacked Yes55c871$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adf…b6b1backed No41c861.77$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x713f…22ccbacked No45c813.33$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No48c778.14$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.074245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No49c767.38$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.024459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes77c734.97$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.77785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes72c700$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1932100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked No43c637.21$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4406…4b19backed No47c632.16$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked No30c561.83$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.475125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes65c545$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.372035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x654b…c791backed No46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb75…2efdbacked Yes59c540.54$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed No47c518.5$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.242958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No41c508.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.084233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2404337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed No41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0065…02f3backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes52c444$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.12785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+71.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No48c436.35$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3807…f292backed No33c412.69$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd822…697bbacked Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…1b1cbacked Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.642343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd79c…a0e7backed No46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked No45c320$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14460%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b5c…f96fbacked Yes59c305.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.08966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc48…6dcdbacked Yes60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Yes54c269.23$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.95343.4%23 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+68.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f64…32b3backed No44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed No41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.54337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid+90.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdffc…53e6backed No44c246.44$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc9f…2e3abacked No41c244.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb81…d251backed No42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04e2…a455backed No43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Yes59c211.36$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.664961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8133…6a9abacked No46c206.2$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe966…c1c2backed No49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8210543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd8…1228backed Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac9…f5b7backed No41c197.32$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed No41c195.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013534.8%47 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes54c183.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.843135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e85…1ccdbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed No41c170.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked No41c170.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes11c169.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.921338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe809…039bbacked Yes51c154.86$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.88944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes58c153.76$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.583016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No46c149.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.824438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-24.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes53c141.71$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.