TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Browns vs. Saints

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saintsof Browns, Saints
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$394,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$416,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 660 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa84b…5055backed Saints60c30,939$18,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,295.083976.9%30 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Browns49c19,203$9,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,403.7214457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b0e…78ddbacked Saints50c16,010$8,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0053943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Browns51c15,445$7,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,872.5627339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Saints59c13,526$7,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,593.5317823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5faf…27bbbacked Browns52c11,684$6,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,075.567857.7%45 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Saints48c11,669$5,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,078.0925137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Saints52c11,625$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,625.296028.3%17 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Saints48c10,999$5,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,719.632438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd398…c487backed Browns53c10,237$5,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,425.654634.8%16 W · 30 L-8.7wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-37%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Browns52c9,030$4,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,677.9636246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Browns36c8,116$2,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,941.154330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b4…e0febacked Saints50c7,057$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,557.152441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed Saints48c5,150$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.141540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaac…3e9dbacked Saints50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412b…f117backed Browns50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74b4…3791backed Browns50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b17…1f86backed Browns50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe55d…802cbacked Browns49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd93…cbb9backed Browns50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f0e…bd07backed Saints50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7e…08ccbacked Saints51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+43.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7231…5986backed Saints50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6011…d9d0backed Browns50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e3e…b917backed Browns50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3208…35a7backed Saints50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3970…ede1backed Browns50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a48…ee2dbacked Saints50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a8a…845abacked Saints51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac58…b485backed Saints50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1de6…aed3backed Browns50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc07…9098backed Browns49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d5…2fe6backed Saints50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…fc22backed Saints50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8576…4c22backed Browns34c4,926$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.01650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Browns36c4,379$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.3822638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Browns1c4,374$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.054311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb3d…1ea4backed Browns51c4,072$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb4d…a21fbacked Saints49c3,840$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Browns49c3,164$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.983551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Saints60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20012570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Browns49c2,545$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.721947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28aa…a986backed Browns52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Browns50c2,100$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05039754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b45…ea09backed Saints52c2,000$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9562544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Browns50c1,969$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.3613942.4%59 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Browns7c1,927$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.758218.3%15 W · 67 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Saints47c1,800$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.9913751.8%71 W · 66 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Browns53c1,510$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.046233.9%21 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3f4…4719backed Saints52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7246…a3dbbacked Browns48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Saints72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8914349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Browns52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.996157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5445…58f0backed Saints50c1,107$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.73333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Saints49c1,073$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.7344246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Saints50c1,063$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.95848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd482…355dbacked Saints51c1,002$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.984100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+112.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Saints50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50030446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…b332backed Browns49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d79…eea4backed Browns28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Saints48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Browns49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Browns51c999.95$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.977526.7%20 W · 55 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Browns52c999.93$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9610738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Browns34c974$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.163946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed Saints48c853.71$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.936950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Saints48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3321454.7%117 W · 97 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Browns38c784.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Browns50c734.28$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.143426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-46.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x82ff…8713backed Saints69c699.99$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2171181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Saints48c699.04$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.513040%52 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Browns49c644.15$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.7439242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc69d…1262backed Saints49c599.31$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.654131.7%13 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-26%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Browns28c519.01$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.455429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d44…b15ebacked Saints49c510$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.12070%14 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a05…e4b8backed Browns34c493.5$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1706848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeafd…184cbacked Saints49c438.78$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1e…37e2backed Saints51c434.3$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.811435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Browns53c426$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7819864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Browns33c417.94$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.923116.1%5 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-58.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Browns52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20815722.3%35 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Browns52c384.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0628447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a1…9fd5backed Browns53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4936…318bbacked Saints48c372.92$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Browns28c355.97$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2621713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa945…8201backed Browns50c350$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e42…f833backed Saints51c349.02$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.02520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-60.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Saints48c340.69$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.164839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x484a…7ca9backed Browns52c316.85$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecf8…494ebacked Saints49c316.82$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x073d…65f2backed Saints50c316.4$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid-26.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5132…0a83backed Saints49c304.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.081747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc893…e3eebacked Browns52c302$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.041040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fea…449fbacked Saints49c301.96$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Browns52c300$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15727835.3%98 W · 180 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…440bbacked Saints51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-56%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x353b…0d45backed Browns52c289.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…a174backed Browns52c287.15$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.32728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb66…6196backed Browns52c287.15$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d45…604dbacked Saints49c287.1$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.42955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.