TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Warriors, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$310,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$343,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Clippers67c23,657$15,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,878.8447656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Warriors10c17,029$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.0211332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b46…db60backed Clippers55c13,592$7,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,105.793748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Warriors45c13,481$6,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,094.9470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc3…be1abacked Warriors44c12,238$5,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,389.352839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6371…c2bfbacked Clippers79c10,100$8,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.691258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick73cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2712…0f61backed Warriors24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4002231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Clippers54c9,883$5,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,504.4565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Clippers74c8,742$6,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.121649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Clippers50c7,533$3,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,795.7219350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Warriors67c6,572$4,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,424.796955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd25a…c956backed Warriors57c6,080$3,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,471.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Clippers34c4,834$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,170.7229148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5335…0b0fbacked Warriors43c4,298$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.942425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Warriors50c4,259$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1301947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Clippers66c3,707$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.544100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Warriors50c3,487$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.371,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x054c…9fc0backed Warriors44c3,295$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6879…a58dbacked Warriors62c3,250$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb464…3b89backed Clippers36c3,250$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.861127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Warriors3c3,185$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.891,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Clippers71c3,092$2,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.7229043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Warriors65c3,000$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.323548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…f0e7backed Warriors35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Clippers32c2,758$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.748439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd7…547dbacked Clippers77c2,719$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.261163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db3…0d97backed Clippers37c2,707$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.051145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Warriors8c2,679$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.568417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Clippers37c2,521$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.441,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Warriors64c2,403$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.075856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Warriors28c2,112$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.3461532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Warriors2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40230%0 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b45…ea09backed Warriors67c2,000$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.953727%10 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0688…d67dbacked Warriors33c1,815$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.87837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84b0…4940backed Clippers61c1,706$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.73560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Warriors4c1,705$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2118316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers35c1,700$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0981,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x367c…f5f5backed Warriors67c1,642$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002450%12 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers33c1,620$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.591,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd08…ef3bbacked Warriors39c1,531$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.681723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Clippers37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9937954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc458…52c7backed Warriors57c1,420$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-65.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8025…ef54backed Clippers35c1,409$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.673345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c6c…9047backed Warriors32c1,397$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.971330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47e0…13a8backed Warriors67c1,260$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.752343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Warriors64c1,183$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.3628063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc62f…4888backed Warriors7c1,174$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.371225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca09…74e7backed Clippers35c1,131$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.21450%7 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5853…fb3abacked Warriors34c1,117$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.421442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+64.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2440…bf2ebacked Warriors65c1,083$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.831233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7feb…6be7backed Warriors37c1,081$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.891662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Warriors56c1,053$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.3322039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Warriors29c1,027$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Warriors38c1,021$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.268347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Clippers37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6308043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8823…4c34backed Warriors47c980.3$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.741844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Clippers67c950.88$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.7930954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1d…bfb2backed Warriors28c942.71$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.961553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Warriors64c933.87$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.2536449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers34c899.98$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.496,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Warriors66c894.67$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.4919943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Clippers34c882.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.359724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Warriors36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Warriors37c762.16$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28221338%81 W · 132 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63c6…4cc5backed Warriors64c760.68$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.841376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+60.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e1c…5386backed Clippers36c760.68$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.841154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e8…b92abacked Warriors49c724.02$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.282152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df2…97a5backed Clippers75c721.68$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.715438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9666…5bcfbacked Warriors35c712.5$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-60.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Warriors55c711.41$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.2810546.7%49 W · 56 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Warriors38c704.71$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27012033.3%40 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Warriors59c695.07$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.5315234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Clippers36c688.24$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.641553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Clippers74c660.24$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6625939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c61…f292backed Clippers36c643.59$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb070…96f7backed Warriors64c643.59$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.91650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x690e…ff86backed Clippers34c594.06$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc380…8640backed Warriors67c594.04$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Warriors63c574.98$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.241855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x486e…c403backed Clippers35c574.95$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.721353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Warriors64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Clippers77c487.1$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.472060%12 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+43%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Warriors5c469.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.916943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Warriors64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b92…8bb4backed Warriors22c451.67$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.37623.7%18 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb13…1918backed Clippers68c445.66$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.273151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Clippers40c412.16$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.921,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff2…6434backed Warriors47c405.08$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7570%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Warriors67c401.29$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.4914852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae36…c1a8backed Warriors16c400$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-70.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5e2…25f7backed Warriors51c399.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x059f…220cbacked Warriors64c390.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Warriors65c383.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Clippers36c377.86$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1472341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Warriors53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79ee…ae97backed Warriors54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Warriors29c355.16$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1039130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Clippers47c325.53$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.538548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…bb92backed Warriors30c321.43$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4350%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd86b…edc1backed Warriors64c314.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004667.4%31 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.