CS2 · resolved market
Will Team Vitality win the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08ab1ee7253b961186b387f89f036f8fe2658c817a8c93fd6db5149481f5d6d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xade7…d5c8backed Yes | 57c | 43,314$24,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,625.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…7678backed No | 43c | 43,293$18,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,615.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…b4e3backed Yes | 55c | 26,326$14,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,846.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…9272backed No | 45c | 26,326$11,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,846.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 25c | 2,026$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.91 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 32c | 1,636$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.41 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Yes | 65c | 1,544$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.02 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 24c | 1,324$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.56 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbb…7e8abacked Yes | 77c | 1,293$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 38c | 1,171$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.18 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 41c | 1,170$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 35c | 1,146$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.3 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Yes | 52c | 1,133$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.46 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 80c | 932.91$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Yes | 54c | 793.24$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.32 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Yes | 55c | 689.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.68 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd84…b58abacked Yes | 64c | 669.14$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.47 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…a3c3backed Yes | 53c | 552.87$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c26…9a9bbacked Yes | 77c | 521$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93e…804ebacked Yes | 71c | 472.34$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed5…0167backed No | 23c | 441.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 37c | 352.16$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 22c | 343.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 79c | 301.11$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 78c | 275.22$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…6ad7backed Yes | 77c | 263.33$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…13febacked Yes | 61c | 258.5$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 53c | 237.9$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 29c | 210.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 34c | 206.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 20c | 194.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7d47backed Yes | 53c | 189.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…927abacked Yes | 73c | 175.75$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked No | 24c | 175.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Yes | 58c | 172.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 14c | 158.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes | 75c | 142.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed No | 32c | 121.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf8…93c3backed Yes | 77c | 113.53$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63f…8032backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed No | 48c | 88.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…04adbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…6bd8backed Yes | 76c | 75.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked No | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 46c | 72.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…8dc7backed Yes | 77c | 70.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 64c | 67.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e88…b2b2backed Yes | 77c | 67.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 79c | 63.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…a247backed Yes | 77c | 58.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 67c | 49.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…fd27backed Yes | 67c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…c789backed No | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…15b3backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…26fabacked Yes | 55c | 27.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…6a41backed Yes | 68c | 22.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…4846backed Yes | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2315…39b1backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb7…c204backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Vitality win the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne Tournament?this page
- Will MOUZ win the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne Tournament?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne Tournament?No won
- Will Team Falcons win the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.