CS2 · resolved market
Will Team Falcons win the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe872179a1fdb0b993f9cd9244e41b51a6f0fbcea7fab355953ec52085a72b90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 74c | 4,000$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.83 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 28c | 3,718$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.41 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,131$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.54 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 22c | 1,428$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.49 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Yes | 9c | 1,289$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 21c | 941.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 11c | 590$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed Yes | 21c | 574.17$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.07 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Yes | 36c | 543.8$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.33 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…fd27backed Yes | 40c | 500$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4998…45c7backed Yes | 25c | 496.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes | 20c | 439.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 20c | 388$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb765…c38ebacked Yes | 19c | 308.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 10c | 288$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf62…5fc0backed Yes | 22c | 220.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 80c | 214.18$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yes | 20c | 184.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Yes | 26c | 180.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 50c | 160.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 26c | 159.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…71d6backed Yes | 39c | 149.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked No | 69c | 148.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…15d0backed Yes | 33c | 141.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 73c | 137.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 42c | 135$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…3db0backed Yes | 9c | 135$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…13febacked Yes | 34c | 130$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…16f8backed Yes | 25c | 125.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…c364backed Yes | 23c | 108.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…40fabacked Yes | 21c | 93.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 75c | 92.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ac…eb63backed Yes | 26c | 91.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 87.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 75.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fe…01f7backed Yes | 24c | 67.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 75c | 64.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb28…c82fbacked Yes | 33c | 60.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb45…66d6backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…6badbacked Yes | 29c | 47.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee40…0cfabacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72f…ada8backed Yes | 39c | 38.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 55c | 23.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4e…9168backed No | 72c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Falcons win the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne Tournament?this page
- Will MOUZ win the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne Tournament?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne Tournament?No won
- Will Team Vitality win the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne Tournament?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.