TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Mavericks, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$227,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$259,227

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,214 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf6c…7e66backed Mavericks44c25,875$11,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,416.0759646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Hawks52c23,217$12,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,076.3915056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Hawks0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Mavericks51c10,650$5,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,228.056744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bea…2becbacked Hawks60c9,176$5,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,463.492152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Hawks7c7,111$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.3310926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks55c7,090$3,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,892.5165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks58c6,207$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60076249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Hawks46c3,811$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.4761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked Hawks61c3,635$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.773847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks32c3,508$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3901,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Hawks60c3,473$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.0810244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Hawks12c3,196$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.5514233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks53c3,039$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.511,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…fcbabacked Mavericks42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7402055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4624…0a84backed Hawks57c3,000$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55f…c3d6backed Mavericks40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.945935.6%21 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Hawks47c2,117$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.18439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hawks69c2,021$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.3449849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks41c2,000$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Mavericks45c1,520$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.9172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Hawks5c1,496$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.434425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf846…7341backed Hawks67c1,493$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Hawks1c1,200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e8…9c65backed Hawks58c1,137$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.024548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Mavericks44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3611135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Hawks56c1,111$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.9727546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x624f…2fa6backed Mavericks25c1,104$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.755536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Mavericks42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58037954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mavericks44c999.98$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.991,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Hawks58c950$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55170951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Mavericks44c911.73$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.7323646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hawks3c863.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.191,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks53c847.04$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.231,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks58c757.13$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.391,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8df2…97a5backed Mavericks30c756.77$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.745438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Mavericks46c614.97$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.364045%18 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed Mavericks46c605.39$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.3710334%35 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a2a…9146backed Mavericks45c555$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.254348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Hawks26c544.8$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f8…a7e8backed Hawks59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83cf…8060backed Mavericks46c504.37$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.374100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7670…2524backed Hawks57c503.84$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+46.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Hawks47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2359724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Mavericks44c499.94$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9629148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked Hawks60c485.9$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.542755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7999…ee7ebacked Mavericks42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.192441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x452d…39fdbacked Mavericks33c456.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.041435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x512b…014abacked Mavericks46c453.62$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.62475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+63.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d4…02d0backed Hawks57c452.88$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Mavericks44c444$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6420245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2b0…77bbbacked Hawks56c433.64$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea6…3282backed Mavericks47c433.26$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x861e…b54fbacked Mavericks43c427.91$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.911266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfba5…d382backed Hawks57c403.77$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+46.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…91e3backed Mavericks48c402.39$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.396230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc3…6de1backed Mavericks45c402.22$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+64.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mavericks49c399.98$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9957760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Hawks49c374.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8585347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe00b…2a91backed Mavericks46c361.63$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.051764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks47c359.75$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.571,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a8…dab3backed Mavericks62c355.15$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.76714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-77%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddb…0974backed Hawks58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Mavericks45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16523548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8369…3c94backed Mavericks45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1656547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b52…2c31backed Mavericks44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Hawks51c281.12$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3711952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Mavericks44c277.55$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4429043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce0…b464backed Hawks55c265.45$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2fd…48c2backed Mavericks46c265.22$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e17…779abacked Mavericks58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.622979.3%23 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mavericks42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.51,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Mavericks41c249.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.515234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Mavericks41c244.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3810730.8%33 W · 74 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb48d…9f73backed Mavericks42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.12748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Mavericks33c237.76$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.334644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36ed…6950backed Hawks69c236.21$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.792842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…33ccbacked Hawks58c231.55$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0b2…2bb9backed Mavericks45c222.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.611361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf33…4eacbacked Hawks13c220$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.66426.6%17 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3e7…a536backed Mavericks47c212.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.875933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd2…5e2abacked Mavericks48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.334727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Hawks5c207.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7512752.8%67 W · 60 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Mavericks43c205.41$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4119650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Hawks58c205$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.916554.5%90 W · 75 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c1…1215backed Mavericks49c202.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.84250%21 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Hawks11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2277437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Mavericks44c195.45$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4538132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Mavericks31c194.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9948137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e33…e1a5backed Mavericks44c190$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28f0…1b45backed Hawks55c190$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.55461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd64a…2fa2backed Mavericks41c182.14$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7515640.4%63 W · 93 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Hawks56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Hawks56c175.3$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3411235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Hawks60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc365…5419backed Mavericks49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.274351.2%22 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2c3…0b5ebacked Mavericks45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.56262.9%39 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Hawks59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.517846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdacf…900abacked Hawks51c145.94$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.