TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rockies vs. Marlins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rockiesof Rockies, Marlins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,181 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba0b…7888backed Marlins62c55,330$34,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,304.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e9b…ce4ebacked Rockies38c53,376$20,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,092.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba1e…9313backed Rockies39c9,999$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,099.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057f…a7fcbacked Marlins61c9,995$6,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,096.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies29c6,221$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,442.781,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc605…d372backed Marlins78c6,014$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7008641.9%36 W · 50 L-15.3wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5e28…9bc8backed Rockies38c6,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.751546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Marlins64c4,687$2,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,991.3124551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies38c4,313$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,680.192,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Marlins63c4,222$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.921338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-33.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00be…5acabacked Marlins62c3,947$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.1450%0 W · 5 L-3.2wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies29c3,891$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.789,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f8…6713backed Marlins63c3,574$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2504261.9%26 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Marlins74c3,174$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.1115851.9%82 W · 76 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Rockies38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+413.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf032…4456backed Marlins62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8601450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Marlins62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.953748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Marlins61c2,424$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.5611153.2%59 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies26c2,160$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.892,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Rockies39c2,043$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.227450%37 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d7d…10b4backed Rockies39c1,923$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb51…df01backed Marlins62c1,800$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11670%0 W · 7 L-3.8wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbe86…3010backed Rockies39c1,800$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…6bdebacked Marlins62c1,800$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad09…8429backed Rockies38c1,800$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x696d…fae5backed Rockies38c1,800$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockies43c1,777$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.6397950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eb8…74b8backed Marlins62c1,500$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9303452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9718…fa5dbacked Rockies38c1,488$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.552744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2efd…be4cbacked Rockies38c1,432$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+50.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Marlins61c1,412$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.169249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Marlins42c1,390$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.179740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockies34c1,380$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.11,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies37c1,361$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.481,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Marlins75c1,293$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.673759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rockies46c1,196$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854a…aed0backed Rockies38c1,103$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff1…efdbbacked Marlins61c1,103$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cce…5a68backed Rockies39c1,100$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6711361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c88…d15dbacked Rockies38c1,067$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.54771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec15…3f9ebacked Marlins61c1,046$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockies39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Rockies39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Marlins79c1,000$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7882060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…eb7cbacked Marlins62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6203125.8%8 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b36…fd74backed Rockies39c982.83$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.912846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ada…c516backed Marlins61c964$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Rockies38c914.08$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.738749.4%43 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e4a…2a73backed Rockies39c900$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce37…b17bbacked Marlins61c898.13$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.861827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2400…e647backed Rockies38c887$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.94683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+104.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8014…7f5ebacked Marlins61c877$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockies37c846.38$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.2233349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e8…437cbacked Marlins61c836$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.96757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c8…c481backed Marlins66c823.94$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.651838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x98a0…1b3dbacked Marlins62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002941.4%12 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Marlins63c800$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…73dcbacked Marlins61c800$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4887…179dbacked Marlins63c799.22$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005352.8%28 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4795930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Marlins62c750$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46514150.4%71 W · 70 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rockies38c708$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.961,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Marlins32c707.46$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.3941643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…8253backed Marlins61c700$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4271346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Marlins80c690$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.37663.2%48 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rockies36c668.11$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.931,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Marlins64c635.75$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.8819233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Marlins62c615.94$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.881,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Marlins63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37842452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Rockies35c552.18$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.0814047.9%67 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb1…eb96backed Rockies38c550$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3412650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Marlins15c541.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.752488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b06…ace9backed Marlins61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rockies38c499.85$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.7385047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Marlins62c499.58$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.7412624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Marlins20c490.19$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9820523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9d5…68e9backed Marlins62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Rockies54c413.68$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1313262.9%83 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+93.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cfa…d8d2backed Marlins62c408.06$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Rockies38c404.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.0911463.2%72 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies22c392.02$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.991,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8921…fbd0backed Rockies38c388$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+68.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies36c379$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.1776456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Rockies27c368.28$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.916132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8307…1cadbacked Marlins69c364.59$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.718167.9%55 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe857…ec19backed Marlins62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Marlins63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rockies39c317$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9531145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Marlins61c299.96$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9813555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x265d…5329backed Marlins63c293.15$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.687659.2%45 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a06…1e43backed Marlins61c270.52$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.819920.2%20 W · 79 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Marlins65c270.13$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7840547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1de…5834backed Rockies38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick17cpaid+486.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rockies36c259.41$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.0271751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Marlins62c258.06$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16099951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Rockies39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.416847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0624…faafbacked Rockies39c235.09$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.263148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x562f…fb89backed Rockies38c213.04$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+91.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Rockies77c205.26$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2115256.6%86 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rockies38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1243,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.