NFL · resolved market
Steelers vs. Bengals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a59784d74e1f1b88a36d37483eddf07054668e65a4424487cb479cc523a342b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Steelersof Steelers, Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $439,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $490,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 480 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Bengals | 55c | 80,650$44,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,584.44 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Bengals | 60c | 55,868$33,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,427.81 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Steelers | 48c | 52,139$24,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,364.18 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Bengals | 1c | 50,286$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.23 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Steelers | 59c | 21,182$12,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,694.07 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Steelers | 39c | 17,451$6,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,609.28 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Steelers | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Bengals | 60c | 12,555$7,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,548.85 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…62e5backed Bengals | 59c | 10,516$6,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,189.97 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Bengals | 61c | 10,000$6,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,056.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bengals | 59c | 9,371$5,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,528.71 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…0cedbacked Steelers | 54c | 9,339$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,339.11 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Steelers | 39c | 9,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,449.99 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Steelers | 42c | 8,934$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,188.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked Bengals | 65c | 7,600$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,940 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked Steelers | 35c | 7,587$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,931.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Steelers | 40c | 7,122$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,304.77 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Bengals | 1c | 5,556$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Steelers | 64c | 5,032$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.68 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…1199backed Bengals | 60c | 4,953$2,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Bengals | 8c | 4,928$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.73 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Bengals | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…8897backed Steelers | 40c | 3,700$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Steelers | 40c | 3,549$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.75 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Bengals | 49c | 3,490$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Steelers | 41c | 3,400$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Steelers | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Steelers | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Bengals | 3c | 2,439$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…974dbacked Steelers | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Steelers | 56c | 2,329$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.28 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Steelers | 65c | 2,104$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.57 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Steelers | 40c | 1,901$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.08 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Steelers | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.71 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Steelers | 40c | 1,772$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.44 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bengals | 20c | 1,726$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.94 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Steelers | 41c | 1,676$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.16 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Steelers | 73c | 1,614$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.12 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Steelers | 52c | 1,546$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Steelers | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Steelers | 39c | 1,439$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.73 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Steelers | 43c | 1,304$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.39 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcef1…9748backed Steelers | 40c | 1,253$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bengals | 4c | 1,218$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Steelers | 40c | 1,213$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.82 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa73c…4c41backed Steelers | 41c | 1,135$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.77 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Bengals | 25c | 1,022$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.9 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Bengals | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Steelers | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a3…d687backed Steelers | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Steelers | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.0wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Steelers | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Steelers | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…96f9backed Bengals | 3c | 999.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Bengals | 58c | 999.91$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.95 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Bengals | 5c | 900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Steelers | 39c | 818.04$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698e…8042backed Steelers | 41c | 813$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…e7fcbacked Steelers | 63c | 787.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Steelers | 56c | 779.67$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.39 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Steelers | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Steelers | 42c | 596.16$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.16 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…36b4backed Steelers | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf0…1179backed Steelers | 32c | 586.51$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.82 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Steelers | 41c | 554.32$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.32 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Steelers | 65c | 536.97$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.82 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Bengals | 4c | 532.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Bengals | 61c | 513$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.93 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953b…f969backed Bengals | 60c | 503.86$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Steelers | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.14 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8576…4c22backed Steelers | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Steelers | 39c | 463.87$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.08 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…5df3backed Steelers | 40c | 450.4$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Steelers | 36c | 429.87$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.08 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Steelers | 39c | 429.59$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.7 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Steelers | 63c | 400$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed8…de47backed Steelers | 54c | 392.49$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…275ebacked Bengals | 61c | 377.16$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…b660backed Bengals | 23c | 375.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.24per pick | 28cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Bengals | 58c | 372$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Steelers | 39c | 356.17$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.17 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Bengals | 12c | 346.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…c107backed Steelers | 40c | 337.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…e4eebacked Steelers | 40c | 335.32$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…22f4backed Bengals | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Steelers | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…6132backed Steelers | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Steelers | 39c | 333$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…b026backed Steelers | 71c | 330.61$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Bengals | 5c | 316.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Bengals | 69c | 315.44$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.55 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…a2f3backed Steelers | 48c | 299.85$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.36 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…d91dbacked Bengals | 60c | 287.93$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…ba26backed Steelers | 65c | 284$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced9…137bbacked Steelers | 42c | 280$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…a9d8backed Bengals | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4e95backed Steelers | 41c | 261.4$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Steelers | 40c | 258.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Bengals | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7801…422bbacked Steelers | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.