College Football · resolved market
Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc80bd90c7a117daa0873975107ddea644ef4b17976683c6a7499ee642b5aaf44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 21c | 15,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 61c | 9,580$5,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,762.19 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 50c | 6,740$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…9dfabacked No | 28c | 5,988$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Yes | 25c | 4,096$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 19c | 4,088$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.97 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 46c | 3,409$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…2a72backed Yes | 79c | 3,254$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 6c | 3,209$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 17c | 3,000$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.36 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Yes | 77c | 2,497$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Yes | 71c | 2,297$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…ee70backed No | 50c | 2,096$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa8…8753backed Yes | 50c | 2,061$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…f940backed No | 50c | 2,042$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…e1c7backed Yes | 50c | 2,023$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 78c | 2,000$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 7c | 1,890$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed No | 46c | 1,880$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.81 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…3accbacked No | 7c | 1,473$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 7c | 1,293$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 13c | 1,254$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.02 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…17a7backed Yes | 6c | 1,189$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +287.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 65c | 1,049$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.38 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…e5cdbacked No | 11c | 870.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c9…8c88backed Yes | 28c | 855.54$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +252.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 10c | 850$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…3be1backed Yes | 59c | 842.79$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 31c | 815.46$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.61 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…e4cfbacked Yes | 6c | 781.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,462.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4b…e399backed Yes | 7c | 747.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,395.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0b…04fcbacked Yes | 13c | 746.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +273.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648e…0596backed No | 7c | 657.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…6581backed No | 5c | 653.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Yes | 13c | 585.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.36 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…2a19backed Yes | 25c | 504$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +303.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked Yes | 55c | 495.23$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3cd9backed Yes | 6c | 494.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 37c | 472.91$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.91 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 62c | 469.95$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.42 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…6244backed No | 7c | 434.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 11c | 334.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef7…4206backed Yes | 50c | 328.56$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes | 11c | 300$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…2b67backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +437%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…5e7abacked No | 67c | 294.05$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…20ebbacked No | 9c | 284.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…7ec1backed Yes | 65c | 269.86$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…8c52backed Yes | 10c | 255.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +922.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Yes | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…be2ebacked No | 21c | 239.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…72a8backed Yes | 19c | 214.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +161%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…0985backed No | 9c | 212.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…7be6backed No | 11c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…5c8cbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +431.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…88a2backed Yes | 69c | 182.81$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked No | 54c | 173.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…4932backed No | 43c | 173.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Yes | 60c | 167.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…1a10backed No | 8c | 165.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ea…a907backed No | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d9…7479backed No | 6c | 155.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c5…572ebacked No | 13c | 151.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…75dbbacked Yes | 73c | 136.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…8369backed Yes | 39c | 126.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7d…40fbbacked Yes | 79c | 125.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked No | 79c | 121.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea66…6edabacked No | 34c | 116.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Yes | 71c | 113.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff3…3e1dbacked Yes | 53c | 108.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 13c | 108.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b9…6090backed Yes | 76c | 102.59$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…42f3backed Yes | 32c | 93.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6c…3822backed No | 50c | 93.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Yes | 27c | 92.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…eb28backed Yes | 53c | 89.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d52…9a08backed Yes | 51c | 88.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857d…736cbacked No | 41c | 83.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629f…5dcbbacked No | 15c | 82.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb6…0e89backed No | 50c | 78.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…0944backed No | 50c | 75.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6675…997cbacked No | 31c | 72.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f7…0d6fbacked No | 40c | 71.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccc…bafabacked Yes | 69c | 69.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…d4d5backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb0…010bbacked No | 30c | 66.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfc…c692backed No | 77c | 66.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa342…b3b3backed No | 30c | 66.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…2cd0backed No | 18c | 65.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea8…120bbacked Yes | 52c | 64.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…3a4ebacked No | 46c | 64.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…9feebacked Yes | 73c | 59.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…104abacked Yes | 51c | 58.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cd2ebacked Yes | 56c | 58.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d1…44f2backed No | 43c | 58.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…0243backed No | 18c | 58.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…5c24backed Yes | 51c | 58.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…9498backed No | 50c | 57.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?this page
- Will Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Ashton Jeanty win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Avery Johnson win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Cam Ward win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Carson Beck win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Dillon Gabriel win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Drew Allar win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Dylan Raiola win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Garrett Nussmeier win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Jackson Arnold win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Jalen Milroe win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Jaxson Dart win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Miller Moss win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Nico Iamaleava win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Noah Fifita win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Quinn Ewers win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Riley Leonard win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Ryan Williams win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Shedeur Sanders win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Tetairoa McMillan win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Will Howard win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will another player win the Heisman Trophy?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.