College Football · resolved market
Will Ashton Jeanty win the Heisman Trophy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf829ae773c406b1cd61d80cd9d59eea95428816cfcc138ba457fde08f0dbec27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 18c | 20,016$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,608.1 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 13c | 10,002$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.91 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606c…cd8fbacked Yes | 7c | 9,264$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 16c | 7,863$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.71 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…b2c1backed Yes | 11c | 7,751$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 13c | 6,149$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.58 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 12c | 5,790$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.54 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a9…838ebacked Yes | 15c | 5,311$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…17f8backed Yes | 4c | 4,630$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 2c | 4,278$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 26c | 4,165$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.21 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec29…00e7backed Yes | 7c | 3,066$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2980…9b4bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,675$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…5bc2backed Yes | 9c | 2,420$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…6f4fbacked Yes | 19c | 2,094$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5706…44acbacked Yes | 7c | 2,067$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 16c | 2,013$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.93 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.89 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd516…45edbacked Yes | 5c | 1,949$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…3e6cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,900$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…e343backed Yes | 11c | 1,885$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe2…580abacked Yes | 6c | 1,700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 10c | 1,669$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3079…b587backed Yes | 19c | 1,570$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 1,316$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba25…aa2cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,296$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c7…4a10backed Yes | 19c | 1,286$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…0adbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,231$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…1a10backed Yes | 1c | 1,166$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…1d7abacked Yes | 15c | 1,095$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Yes | 4c | 966.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 12c | 859.34$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Yes | 17c | 836.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 6c | 834.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 16c | 806.03$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Yes | 31c | 801.39$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Yes | 20c | 617.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Yes | 22c | 600$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 16c | 585.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…e712backed Yes | 11c | 551.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d61…c873backed Yes | 9c | 549.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 8c | 530.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 65c | 521.99$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…5e7abacked Yes | 33c | 499$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a64…4903backed Yes | 3c | 496.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015a…b5cdbacked Yes | 23c | 439.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked No | 79c | 414.54$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648e…0596backed Yes | 4c | 408.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…320fbacked Yes | 13c | 395.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb7…bd88backed Yes | 33c | 394.2$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9937…0e9dbacked Yes | 19c | 393.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Yes | 6c | 351.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…42f3backed Yes | 27c | 345.88$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 6c | 336.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…1134backed Yes | 5c | 320.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5086…ccedbacked Yes | 33c | 307.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed Yes | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…5acabacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 12c | 299.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…fa24backed Yes | 17c | 291.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…2a9abacked Yes | 5c | 278.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5882…a105backed Yes | 7c | 271.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…26a2backed Yes | 8c | 255.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…17a7backed Yes | 12c | 244.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +287.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d5…a34fbacked Yes | 41c | 242.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 10c | 241.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…37b3backed Yes | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…2b67backed Yes | 25c | 238.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +437%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…9d9bbacked Yes | 22c | 231.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 9c | 228.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Yes | 12c | 225.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…2a31backed Yes | 22c | 222.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…5e74backed Yes | 7c | 220.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Yes | 22c | 220$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…cceebacked Yes | 7c | 215.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…27d3backed Yes | 14c | 212.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Yes | 34c | 210$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…1236backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 22c | 195.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc084…a34fbacked Yes | 14c | 181.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…47fbbacked Yes | 7c | 180.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…094fbacked Yes | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…7ec1backed Yes | 33c | 152.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Yes | 13c | 148$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…3ce8backed Yes | 14c | 147.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Yes | 26c | 133.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…ec17backed Yes | 11c | 131.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…c5c6backed Yes | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45c…e3a0backed Yes | 17c | 120.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3b…600abacked Yes | 17c | 118.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…d3dbbacked Yes | 19c | 115.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed Yes | 18c | 109.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…bf70backed Yes | 18c | 104.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…1cc1backed Yes | 20c | 102.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…2584backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ashton Jeanty win the Heisman Trophy?this page
- Will Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Avery Johnson win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Cam Ward win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Carson Beck win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Dillon Gabriel win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Drew Allar win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Dylan Raiola win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Garrett Nussmeier win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Jackson Arnold win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Jalen Milroe win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Jaxson Dart win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Miller Moss win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Nico Iamaleava win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Noah Fifita win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Quinn Ewers win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Riley Leonard win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Ryan Williams win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Shedeur Sanders win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Tetairoa McMillan win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?Yes won
- Will Will Howard win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will another player win the Heisman Trophy?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.