TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Dylan Raiola win the Heisman Trophy?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,572,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,572,728 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2ea…23d6backed Yes0c89,005$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a11…8cbbbacked Yes0c89,005$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…9f85backed Yes0c81,376$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b1c…48b9backed Yes0c78,804$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24f5…3909backed Yes0c73,747$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ce…910cbacked Yes0c71,204$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0356…da8bbacked Yes0c71,204$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d5…e023backed Yes0c71,204$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd6…6f2dbacked Yes0c71,204$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3748…df65backed Yes0c71,176$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2f…a0d1backed Yes0c68,661$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f5…742abacked Yes0c68,661$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7c…5137backed Yes0c68,639$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f86…f6e6backed Yes0c66,118$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x488b…44c4backed Yes0c63,575$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x264f…95fabacked Yes0c63,575$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5163…8316backed Yes0c63,575$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9876…d9c8backed Yes0c63,550$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x631e…4f31backed Yes0c61,032$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eb0…4d5ebacked Yes0c61,032$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed6…12e0backed Yes0c61,032$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbdf…4acfbacked Yes0c61,032$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a1e…5829backed Yes0c61,008$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…520cbacked Yes0c58,489$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x615a…00d5backed Yes0c55,946$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d67…20dcbacked Yes0c55,946$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3250…ae1cbacked Yes0c55,924$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a8…3cfcbacked Yes0c55,924$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c54,690$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.48254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-94.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae3…8654backed Yes0c53,403$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1c…67d7backed Yes0c53,384$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8814…3991backed Yes0c50,860$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a4…a11cbacked Yes0c50,860$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a85…bf0cbacked Yes0c45,774$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032d…ede2backed Yes0c43,231$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d48…ece0backed Yes0c43,214$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68b2…d603backed Yes0c35,602$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd159…65a8backed Yes0c33,059$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889f…a40cbacked Yes0c30,516$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…b39cbacked Yes0c30,516$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08fe…5ba3backed Yes0c27,973$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb367…d911backed Yes0c27,973$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1be…cababacked Yes0c27,973$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23af…a839backed Yes0c27,962$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5102…95babacked Yes0c25,430$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1156…3cadbacked Yes0c25,430$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12a…25e0backed Yes0c25,421$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f24…e408backed Yes0c22,887$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0d…2f65backed Yes0c22,880$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47b7…bb66backed Yes0c20,336$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6af1…47bcbacked Yes0c20,298$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4345…4231backed Yes0c20,293$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e1…206dbacked Yes0c20,293$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df6…9ef6backed Yes0c20,288$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda8e…90f9backed Yes0c20,288$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a2…2cd9backed Yes0c20,288$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9270…d8bdbacked Yes0c20,288$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4366…b2c7backed Yes0c20,288$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…353ebacked Yes0c20,288$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59dc…d304backed Yes0c20,288$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1182…ec96backed Yes0c20,288$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3644…669bbacked Yes0c20,288$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea63…5046backed Yes0c20,288$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb5…14d7backed Yes0c20,288$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78c…8199backed Yes0c20,288$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe6…46d3backed Yes0c20,287$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd84…c0f0backed Yes0c20,283$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe04d…36a8backed Yes0c20,283$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df4…19e6backed Yes0c17,795$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c0…85babacked Yes0c17,794$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca87…58ddbacked Yes0c17,794$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0701…6e4abacked Yes0c17,761$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…c580backed Yes0c17,761$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325e…040bbacked Yes0c17,756$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed2…2094backed Yes0c17,756$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b35…0f23backed Yes0c17,756$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79d…970cbacked Yes0c17,746$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda51…56d6backed Yes0c17,746$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…e0fabacked Yes0c15,858$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89fd…a576backed Yes0c15,257$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf45c…f98cbacked Yes0c15,257$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6606…e4cfbacked Yes0c15,253$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…bed0backed Yes0c15,252$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30402.5%1 W · 39 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ed…caf0backed Yes0c12,945$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbba4…b45dbacked Yes0c12,714$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc39…69b2backed Yes0c12,160$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…39dabacked Yes0c11,743$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bf…2b55backed Yes0c11,558$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf03c…4002backed Yes0c10,700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…2deabacked Yes0c10,172$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f3…c32bbacked Yes0c9,714$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28c…fa95backed Yes0c9,616$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8407…5447backed Yes1c8,646$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c7,962$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.91390%0 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd72a…de9abacked Yes0c5,870$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3771…48edbacked Yes0c5,084$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43e…7415backed Yes0c5,084$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x118e…f4abbacked Yes0c4,900$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d5…682bbacked Yes3c4,294$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.