College Football · resolved market
Will Nico Iamaleava win the Heisman Trophy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc57d9a707d95554e5c092fdbd0c82714ba877f2477515dc7d407798742579646
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,109,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,109,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 50,513$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…ed53backed Yes | 0c | 26,839$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d9…b34fbacked Yes | 0c | 26,839$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x756a…fd2bbacked Yes | 0c | 26,149$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…dbf6backed Yes | 0c | 25,148$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…b6b8backed Yes | 0c | 17,227$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…701fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,227$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…0ffcbacked Yes | 0c | 17,227$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…4251backed Yes | 0c | 17,227$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…20cabacked Yes | 0c | 17,217$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…e7bebacked Yes | 0c | 17,203$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…1ce0backed Yes | 0c | 17,168$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c27…90c2backed Yes | 0c | 17,167$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x107e…cdc3backed Yes | 0c | 17,158$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…d5afbacked Yes | 0c | 17,158$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…7db9backed Yes | 0c | 17,118$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…6c78backed Yes | 0c | 17,068$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e9…7ca8backed Yes | 0c | 17,059$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…4269backed Yes | 0c | 17,058$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…7180backed Yes | 0c | 17,058$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1504…edfdbacked Yes | 0c | 16,929$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7b…9481backed Yes | 0c | 15,265$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…b6dbbacked Yes | 0c | 15,216$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…a7b7backed Yes | 0c | 15,176$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf63…a0dcbacked Yes | 0c | 15,176$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…bb13backed Yes | 0c | 15,176$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f2…3f31backed Yes | 0c | 15,166$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…fb71backed Yes | 0c | 15,137$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…f2cabacked Yes | 0c | 15,137$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…d7dbbacked Yes | 0c | 15,127$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aea…1254backed Yes | 0c | 15,117$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0265…1923backed Yes | 0c | 15,117$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611d…c956backed Yes | 0c | 15,116$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x894e…d6babacked Yes | 0c | 15,116$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5a…4dd7backed Yes | 0c | 15,098$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…4b2dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,088$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b0…a5dabacked Yes | 0c | 15,077$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd557…f48abacked Yes | 0c | 15,077$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5348…cd67backed Yes | 0c | 15,038$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…d3bcbacked Yes | 0c | 15,038$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…dd21backed Yes | 0c | 15,037$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1919…b93dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,027$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…fc7bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,988$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ee…9f2bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,988$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…271cbacked Yes | 0c | 14,979$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…c610backed Yes | 0c | 14,979$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…4055backed Yes | 0c | 14,968$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99de…c3d3backed Yes | 0c | 14,948$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…7708backed Yes | 0c | 14,928$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54dd…3d84backed Yes | 0c | 14,889$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x129c…44b7backed Yes | 0c | 14,889$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…8be3backed Yes | 1c | 13,833$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e27…8aaebacked Yes | 0c | 13,669$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…d5b0backed Yes | 0c | 13,619$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af6…bfa7backed Yes | 0c | 13,420$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…b180backed Yes | 0c | 11,677$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…2f06backed Yes | 0c | 11,530$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 10,295$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,241$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…bdb0backed Yes | 0c | 4,363$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…24a4backed Yes | 0c | 3,969$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5642…60c8backed Yes | 15c | 200.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nico Iamaleava win the Heisman Trophy?this page
- Will Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Ashton Jeanty win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Avery Johnson win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Cam Ward win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Carson Beck win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Dillon Gabriel win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Drew Allar win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Dylan Raiola win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Garrett Nussmeier win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Jackson Arnold win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Jalen Milroe win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Jaxson Dart win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Miller Moss win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Noah Fifita win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Quinn Ewers win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Riley Leonard win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Ryan Williams win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Shedeur Sanders win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Tetairoa McMillan win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?Yes won
- Will Will Howard win the Heisman Trophy?No won
- Will another player win the Heisman Trophy?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.