TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Dillon Gabriel win the Heisman Trophy?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$243,412
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,412 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c35,629$57 inLost-$57.17254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-94.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260a…dbf6backed Yes0c27,065$27 inLost-$27.071040%4 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid-17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0811…bd26backed Yes0c18,124$18 inLost-$18.1240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf9…e7bebacked Yes0c18,019$18 inLost-$18.0260%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes0c13,655$27 inLost-$27.314146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fe8…2cbabacked Yes0c13,333$25 inLost-$24.6350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f95…cd99backed Yes0c12,987$13 inLost-$12.9970%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c11,878$24 inLost-$23.76402.5%1 W · 39 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7d9…b34fbacked Yes0c11,399$11 inLost-$11.450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a00…ed53backed Yes0c10,735$11 inLost-$10.7350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd975…c6d6backed Yes1c9,934$71 inLost-$71.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes9c6,185$562 inLost-$562.386251.6%32 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x648e…0596backed Yes1c5,391$29 inLost-$29.352020%4 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes6c2,687$156 inLost-$156.418851.1%45 W · 43 L+9.3wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes2c1,000$19 inLost-$18.643348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes18c888.92$163 inLost-$162.563511.4%4 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes10c753.61$74 inLost-$74.03234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-85.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes27c742.99$200 inLost-$2007234.7%25 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…47afbacked Yes22c551.01$121 inLost-$121.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Yes4c364.48$16 inLost-$15.676547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe6b…f255backed Yes22c271.15$60 inLost-$59.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Yes14c146.7$20 inLost-$202030%6 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-43.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Yes21c134.07$28 inLost-$28.022763%17 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost-$12.31353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No80c50.53$40 inWon+$10.183231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.