TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Jalen Milroe win the Heisman Trophy?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,249 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c48,011$82 inLost-$81.71254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-94.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c4,431$14 inLost-$13.81390%0 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda47…f40abacked Yes1c2,413$17 inLost-$17.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Yes1c2,237$17 inLost-$17.391353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b95…136fbacked Yes2c1,080$20 inLost-$202133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Yes15c1,009$148 inLost-$147.511839%46 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes2c644.22$10 inLost-$10.44234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-85.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f9c…1f9dbacked Yes4c557.52$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa03b…c3f1backed Yes15c500$75 inLost-$751963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost-$206048.3%29 W · 31 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes16c120$19 inLost-$18.834257.1%24 W · 18 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+53.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbb33…5924backed Yes29c63.45$18 inLost-$18.41030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.