TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a60…8c52

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Coltsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+49.3%+$6.73
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Buccaneers vs. Chiefsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$14
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.35
Scorigami in NFL Week 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+37%+$7.4
Ravens vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Broncos vs. Saintsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Commanders vs. Ravensbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2024, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick11cpaid+121.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.34
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$48
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+922.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+922.3%+$230.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+25.3%+$6.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$87.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Republican win Virginia US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$42.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$27.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.