NFL · resolved market
Broncos vs. Saints
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b1ee500ba852149a777ff04707299dd25724babd538c6c92e3d90dcb2003824
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Broncos, Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 501 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Saints | 42c | 26,518$11,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,137.49 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Saints | 35c | 22,380$7,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,944.52 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Saints | 40c | 15,838$6,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,334.03 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Saints | 41c | 11,732$4,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,867.7 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Saints | 43c | 6,541$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.63 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Broncos | 60c | 6,029$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.04 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…f374backed Broncos | 53c | 4,847$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Broncos | 57c | 4,500$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.97 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Broncos | 56c | 3,878$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.71 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…2758backed Broncos | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +11.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Broncos | 63c | 3,347$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.1 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Saints | 40c | 3,033$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.33 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Broncos | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Broncos | 74c | 2,840$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.3 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Saints | 43c | 2,785$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.17 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Saints | 43c | 2,750$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.3 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…0789backed Broncos | 59c | 2,572$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Broncos | 58c | 2,379$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a3…e24bbacked Saints | 43c | 2,376$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Saints | 2c | 2,338$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…3ef4backed Saints | 43c | 2,256$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e785backed Broncos | 59c | 2,254$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Broncos | 79c | 2,179$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.03 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Broncos | 76c | 2,100$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f0…1af3backed Saints | 43c | 2,058$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2f…746cbacked Broncos | 59c | 2,058$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Saints | 17c | 2,046$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.24 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Saints | 42c | 1,997$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.93 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5102…9c6ebacked Saints | 14c | 1,746$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Broncos | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Broncos | 58c | 1,722$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.3 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Broncos | 58c | 1,664$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.02 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Saints | 40c | 1,634$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.53 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…c80ebacked Broncos | 73c | 1,596$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Broncos | 77c | 1,400$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…8c35backed Broncos | 57c | 1,372$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…452fbacked Saints | 45c | 1,372$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Saints | 35c | 1,300$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.47 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Broncos | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.9 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Saints | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Broncos | 57c | 1,132$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.05 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Broncos | 57c | 1,069$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.61 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…e44dbacked Saints | 43c | 1,032$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Broncos | 57c | 1,019$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.16 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Saints | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Saints | 43c | 1,000$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.95 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Saints | 42c | 999.9$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.96 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5b…077fbacked Broncos | 57c | 973.68$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…676fbacked Saints | 43c | 960.44$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…98a9backed Saints | 27c | 935.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Saints | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ca…9f7abacked Saints | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…a9bdbacked Saints | 7c | 906.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Broncos | 57c | 888.71$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa24…3d23backed Saints | 41c | 888$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…218ebacked Broncos | 57c | 888$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Broncos | 60c | 882.33$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.93 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…ef54backed Broncos | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x367c…f5f5backed Saints | 43c | 860.47$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…7b38backed Broncos | 59c | 852.07$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…3b04backed Broncos | 59c | 851.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…595fbacked Saints | 43c | 836.74$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…7bc9backed Broncos | 58c | 836.21$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…4551backed Broncos | 62c | 827.1$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.45 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Saints | 21c | 799.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.79 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Broncos | 58c | 775.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.86 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Saints | 26c | 730.33$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.34 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb30…a49bbacked Saints | 44c | 705.68$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c95…7db9backed Broncos | 57c | 705.26$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Saints | 45c | 705.18$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Broncos | 58c | 700$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Saints | 41c | 699.97$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.99 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Broncos | 58c | 695.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.34 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc238…7945backed Broncos | 58c | 670.78$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…e57fbacked Saints | 48c | 668.94$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…e61abacked Broncos | 58c | 656.07$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…35aebacked Saints | 43c | 654.98$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…5795backed Broncos | 59c | 648.51$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…a1e8backed Saints | 43c | 648.5$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…5686backed Broncos | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…ba4abacked Broncos | 68c | 597.58$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.58 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…517abacked Saints | 43c | 572.72$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Broncos | 58c | 527.22$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.43 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Broncos | 57c | 525.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.01 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…0cf9backed Broncos | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…786dbacked Saints | 43c | 516.28$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Broncos | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Broncos | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Broncos | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d06…7e2bbacked Saints | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021f…17fbbacked Saints | 43c | 490.09$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…0ba5backed Broncos | 58c | 490.09$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Saints | 43c | 485.47$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.75 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Saints | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Broncos | 57c | 465$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed Saints | 43c | 464$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.52 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…58c0backed Saints | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…7447backed Broncos | 57c | 447.74$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.53 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…7643backed Broncos | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Broncos | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.