Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x396d7be702dc88e1110b52b76b91056a87abf81b8e4a961b3e4702cc308ba574
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $940,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $983,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $940,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 7c | 38,830$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.6 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 40c | 31,315$12,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,820.8 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 32c | 27,783$8,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,935.06 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 21c | 25,240$5,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,213.08 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Yes | 41c | 24,345$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,345.29 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Yes | 49c | 20,511$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,511.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed No | 55c | 20,493$11,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,213.29 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 32c | 17,954$5,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,232.33 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d0…636dbacked No | 67c | 17,052$11,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,492.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 2c | 16,346$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.17 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…1d52backed Yes | 52c | 15,900$8,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,612.18 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 33c | 15,897$5,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,707.56 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 0c | 13,555$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 102 | 11.8%12 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 57c | 12,946$7,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,551.14 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed No | 65c | 10,621$6,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,894.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a9…48b9backed No | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 12cpaid | +427.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9962…aab6backed No | 65c | 9,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 18c | 8,800$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,245.88 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked No | 67c | 8,334$5,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,615 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Yes | 42c | 8,071$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,658.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 63c | 7,931$5,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,024.06 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…046ebacked No | 8c | 7,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 9cpaid | +197.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce6…26bdbacked Yes | 30c | 6,543$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,596.38 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 6,415$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 56c | 6,337$3,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.62 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbb…fd16backed No | 2c | 6,238$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…4a8ebacked Yes | 42c | 6,009$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed No | 66c | 5,828$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.54 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 64c | 5,803$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.95 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 35c | 4,393$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.37 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 48c | 4,226$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.02 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 0c | 4,056$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x899b…fbdfbacked No | 68c | 4,002$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed Yes | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fd…0f40backed Yes | 29c | 3,480$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Yes | 16c | 3,452$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Yes | 47c | 3,418$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.91 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 58c | 3,275$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.09 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 68c | 3,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea8…aa48backed Yes | 40c | 2,715$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc545…dc80backed Yes | 44c | 2,595$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed Yes | 39c | 2,528$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.06 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…f235backed Yes | 44c | 2,500$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed No | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +8.3wins | +0.32per pick | 14cpaid | +308.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3a20…c0bcbacked No | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 59c | 2,247$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.85 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 62c | 2,230$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.7 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 31c | 2,211$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.21 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…e3ddbacked Yes | 47c | 2,152$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed Yes | 44c | 2,008$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.89 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…2418backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x213a…57f2backed Yes | 48c | 1,989$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked Yes | 42c | 1,906$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.68 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d5…4503backed Yes | 50c | 1,806$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…37eabacked No | 66c | 1,725$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc85…b33dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,698$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +497%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 23c | 1,687$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.66 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 62c | 1,643$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…802cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…08ccbacked No | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d0…ade5backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…fb45backed Yes | 42c | 1,455$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 73c | 1,455$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.1 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Yes | 35c | 1,363$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,360$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.46 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 63c | 1,322$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.8 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…a613backed Yes | 38c | 1,306$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.82 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…9bd2backed No | 54c | 1,285$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked No | 54c | 1,250$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.49 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,250$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.49 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeece…8b06backed Yes | 44c | 1,140$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…8f3fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,110$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 7c | 1,050$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 78c | 1,000$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1442…5a8fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…a2cdbacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…67dbbacked No | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Yes | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +78%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed No | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…0601backed No | 65c | 961$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 41c | 960$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.3 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 52c | 952.52$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.19 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 38c | 845.26$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.82 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed No | 72c | 800$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4e…faa3backed Yes | 60c | 790.3$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.21 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 17c | 773.54$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…e78fbacked No | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a4…7bf2backed Yes | 39c | 758.68$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…b697backed Yes | 42c | 714$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 58c | 688$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.97 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2fa6backed No | 26c | 680.91$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.04 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 51c | 666$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.33 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 34c | 650$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?this page
- Will Trump nominate Ben Carson for HHS Secretary?No won
- Will Trump nominate Bobby Jindal for HHS Secretary?No won
- Will Trump nominate Brian Blase for HHS Secretary?No won
- Will Trump nominate Eric Hargan for HHS Secretary?No won
- Will Trump nominate Joe Grogan for HHS Secretary?No won
- Will Trump nominate Paul Mango for HHS Secretary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.