TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Commanders vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Commandersof Commanders, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$335,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$352,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,474 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Giants33c158,740$52,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,613.7512051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94dc…c779backed Commanders66c144,884$95,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,712.117853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Giants34c18,933$6,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,490.3427339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Commanders66c15,172$10,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,107.971844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Commanders79c12,322$9,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.3514457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e25…ff35backed Commanders68c10,711$7,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,476.241090%9 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick70cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giants34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40039754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Giants33c10,000$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.9712827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Giants35c9,871$3,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,406.1436246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2093…6d4dbacked Commanders66c9,000$5,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.99887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Giants34c8,000$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,694.9518645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1361…822ebacked Commanders65c6,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1002556%14 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Giants32c5,949$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.9525137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Giants15c5,709$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.8622638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Giants33c4,520$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.644246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Commanders67c3,636$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.8819864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Giants34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02016036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Giants2c2,396$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fa…4bbebacked Commanders67c2,375$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.832263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc34…ff67backed Commanders68c2,182$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6911947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Giants16c2,011$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31520246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Giants24c1,935$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.1432438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Giants14c1,541$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.2421713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Giants34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105527.3%15 W · 40 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Giants33c1,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9916832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ceb…4bf2backed Commanders67c1,493$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-45%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe799…3d4dbacked Commanders67c1,400$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4622055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b7…0652backed Giants35c1,350$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Giants33c1,342$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.463033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b94…8183backed Giants35c1,236$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.523268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f4a…3086backed Commanders68c1,170$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c64…1d7abacked Commanders67c1,150$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Giants33c1,050$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.4811945.4%54 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Giants34c1,002$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.734839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Commanders75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506734.3%23 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Giants25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa501…9f0fbacked Commanders66c999.99$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3405641.1%23 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd35d…7089backed Commanders69c942.87$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.6914452.8%76 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Commanders67c802.48$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.8414750.3%74 W · 73 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3add…a76dbacked Giants35c776.12$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb26e…3948backed Commanders68c663.48$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0870…e7bebacked Commanders67c662.69$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.69475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Commanders67c634.43$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3612570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Giants33c631.5$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.393551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf183…979cbacked Giants35c628.57$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4edd…f6dcbacked Commanders67c602.85$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.94580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Giants33c599.88$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9639242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2489…b2d5backed Giants35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0501…7f87backed Commanders65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Commanders66c499.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17022142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Giants35c499.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9916139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19fe…809ebacked Giants34c480$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b9…8116backed Commanders67c450.69$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.73862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60db…ab2abacked Commanders68c425$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf735…1224backed Giants34c422.06$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…efb8backed Commanders66c415.18$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.166058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Commanders66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13613942.4%59 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4317…e7adbacked Giants35c390.63$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53e…e47cbacked Commanders66c385.85$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7f72backed Commanders68c382$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…937ebacked Giants34c380$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0d9…ad02backed Commanders66c378.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.143767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa66a…be53backed Commanders67c370$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba61…ab66backed Commanders67c368.89$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Giants33c368.71$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0918051.7%93 W · 87 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d0…059abacked Commanders66c354.3$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.463262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8240…cbfabacked Commanders67c326.18$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.64966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Giants32c320$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.49946.5%46 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc29f…2f53backed Commanders67c320$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x73e3…8f6fbacked Commanders66c316.59$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7801…422bbacked Commanders75c306.74$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c69…9695backed Giants35c303.95$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.38850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a78…d066backed Commanders67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Commanders66c300$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2525453.9%137 W · 117 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Giants33c299.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.997844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93d0…0c2ebacked Commanders65c291$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8513255.3%73 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4404…c5b7backed Giants35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+60.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Giants18c281.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3833328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bfc…fe00backed Giants35c271.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick39cpaid-80.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6299…2628backed Giants35c260$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick48cpaid-82.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24ac…6df6backed Commanders68c258.4$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6919261.5%118 W · 74 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x074f…f222backed Giants8c244.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.591127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Commanders66c233.69$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4529356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe0…5e03backed Giants34c233.69$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-56.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb91e…9cc5backed Commanders70c231.52$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3eb…6f4fbacked Giants33c230.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.792343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Commanders67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8813260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa82…57e4backed Giants34c217.06$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.850%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Giants8c209.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007c…82fdbacked Giants25c201.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Commanders66c199.55$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.922181%17 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+33.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed Giants34c190$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Commanders67c186.57$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5716451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Giants34c176.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.162552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac45…20c5backed Giants35c175$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.253053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Commanders69c167.3$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.312760.6%77 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ed…16f3backed Commanders67c160$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b8…1f22backed Giants35c160$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Giants23c159.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1514139%55 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Commanders78c153.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.862875%21 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.