NFL · resolved market
Broncos vs. Chiefs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa11d53e4ec744bc1d510f5d3efe3bb440e5d3099a683a6230b769fce932302d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Broncos, Chiefs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $438,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $450,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 523 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Chiefs | 77c | 42,517$32,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,919.26 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Broncos | 27c | 38,018$10,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,272.53 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Broncos | 30c | 37,440$11,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,217.02 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Broncos | 24c | 33,135$7,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,890.25 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…5d8ebacked Chiefs | 79c | 30,864$24,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,558.06 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Broncos | 21c | 26,108$5,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,524.72 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Broncos | 23c | 20,850$4,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,795.5 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Chiefs | 76c | 17,224$13,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,132.26 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a2…0946backed Chiefs | 77c | 13,251$10,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Chiefs | 79c | 11,810$9,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.07 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Chiefs | 67c | 10,985$7,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.31 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Broncos | 38c | 10,736$4,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,072.92 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Broncos | 35c | 9,505$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,324.44 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Broncos | 22c | 9,153$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.97 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Broncos | 28c | 9,132$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.36 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Broncos | 21c | 6,861$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Broncos | 22c | 5,300$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Chiefs | 79c | 5,000$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Broncos | 48c | 4,694$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a25…628fbacked Broncos | 33c | 4,545$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Broncos | 22c | 4,487$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.47 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Chiefs | 76c | 3,588$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.18 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Broncos | 29c | 3,411$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.06 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Chiefs | 78c | 3,205$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.13 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fc…c1e8backed Broncos | 26c | 3,127$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…a5bfbacked Broncos | 33c | 2,884$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Broncos | 22c | 2,531$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.07 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Broncos | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Broncos | 35c | 2,380$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.59 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Chiefs | 77c | 2,372$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.55 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Broncos | 30c | 2,250$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Chiefs | 79c | 2,222$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Broncos | 46c | 2,156$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Broncos | 21c | 2,094$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.72 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Chiefs | 65c | 2,034$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Broncos | 25c | 2,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…3cffbacked Broncos | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3239…b16dbacked Broncos | 49c | 1,960$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Broncos | 32c | 1,721$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.55 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Broncos | 27c | 1,653$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.02 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Broncos | 35c | 1,651$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.15 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…d81bbacked Broncos | 22c | 1,510$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ed…c73dbacked Chiefs | 78c | 1,510$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Broncos | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…a697backed Chiefs | 77c | 1,490$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…039ebacked Broncos | 23c | 1,490$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…2c30backed Broncos | 41c | 1,360$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.5 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…2010backed Chiefs | 72c | 1,314$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…c557backed Chiefs | 69c | 1,299$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Broncos | 33c | 1,295$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.34 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…124bbacked Chiefs | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Broncos | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Chiefs | 78c | 1,155$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.07 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecd…7cb0backed Broncos | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Broncos | 29c | 1,100$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…a50dbacked Broncos | 41c | 1,007$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Broncos | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Chiefs | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…9370backed Broncos | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Broncos | 22c | 999.75$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.95 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Chiefs | 49c | 997.95$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.95 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked Broncos | 46c | 966.12$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.71 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…a363backed Broncos | 76c | 958.56$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Chiefs | 79c | 952$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Chiefs | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Broncos | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Broncos | 22c | 865$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.3 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…d2f5backed Chiefs | 79c | 790$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Chiefs | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Chiefs | 66c | 762.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.62 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…7e88backed Chiefs | 73c | 749.73$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd706…6540backed Broncos | 25c | 731.35$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Chiefs | 62c | 614.73$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.3 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Broncos | 49c | 602.04$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Broncos | 25c | 600.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Chiefs | 76c | 600$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…c29dbacked Broncos | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17de…8b83backed Chiefs | 78c | 592.09$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Broncos | 10c | 554.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…dc9ebacked Broncos | 36c | 551.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Chiefs | 69c | 548.31$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.98 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Chiefs | 67c | 541.16$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.04 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…abc3backed Broncos | 22c | 525$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…00f6backed Chiefs | 79c | 507.26$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.52 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Broncos | 20c | 502.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Broncos | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Broncos | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…d498backed Chiefs | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…c838backed Broncos | 21c | 499.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Chiefs | 63c | 476.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…a2d4backed Chiefs | 72c | 474.77$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66a…be53backed Chiefs | 78c | 470$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Broncos | 33c | 451.23$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Chiefs | 78c | 448.72$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…9b4dbacked Broncos | 22c | 444.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…5bb4backed Broncos | 27c | 438.72$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…f3d2backed Chiefs | 79c | 432.22$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0d…1876backed Broncos | 40c | 420.43$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Broncos | 24c | 419.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Broncos | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.