NFL · resolved market
Scorigami in NFL Week 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x933087936b3cca8bf9613e1d72e644ebd8ca27a8b88b3b74385de9f156a9d3ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb618…14babacked Yes | 30c | 3,902$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,852$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.1 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…bd72backed No | 74c | 2,473$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.51 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 75c | 1,693$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.57 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…a022backed No | 73c | 1,443$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6482…f8b6backed No | 74c | 1,034$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9627…432fbacked No | 72c | 350$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed Yes | 27c | 255$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901d…9c8ebacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 27c | 186.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…8ed6backed Yes | 6c | 180.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…de83backed No | 73c | 150.03$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked No | 73c | 137.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 15c | 133.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 26c | 111.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 27c | 105$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 28c | 101.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8960…93fbbacked No | 73c | 63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4b…00b6backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5982…fa1ebacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5c…c842backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…8c52backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…3ebbbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4b…408bbacked No | 73c | 13.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…dfdebacked No | 75c | 13.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1588…77a7backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.