Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump nominate Mike Lee for Attorney General?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2d322e357145e5d27bbc32a30b61172866b0b62e632024a469f4289fcb15495
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 4c | 12,290$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.38 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 3c | 6,119$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.56 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,599$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 3c | 3,700$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 31c | 2,851$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.68 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 31c | 1,694$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.04 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…b917backed No | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…35a7backed Yes | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 25c | 1,076$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.52 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 71c | 1,075$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.5 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 39c | 983.55$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.58 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf214…a9e5backed Yes | 4c | 833.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked No | 61c | 727.73$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.61 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…9dfebacked No | 60c | 665.38$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 9c | 609$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 17c | 548.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…0b8bbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 6c | 450$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf118…1f58backed No | 62c | 448.49$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 25c | 381.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed No | 72c | 325.07$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked No | 74c | 317.47$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -69%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…6a27backed Yes | 20c | 310$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54bf…eb1abacked Yes | 38c | 239$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…113ebacked No | 65c | 232.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 33c | 229.05$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 67c | 206.01$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 16c | 155$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 79c | 155$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…edfcbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 27c | 112.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 26c | 107$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 71c | 104$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 36c | 100.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…8c52backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996b…1e9cbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…9fabbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2b92backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9ed9backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…346cbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…09b5backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…1236backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec4…226fbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…3802backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed Yes | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef7d…946dbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump nominate Mike Lee for Attorney General?this page
- Will Trump nominate Andrew Bailey for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate Emil Bove for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate Eric Schmitt for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate Jeff Clark for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate Jeffrey Jensen for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate John Ratcliffe for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate Matthew G. Whitaker for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate Mike Davis for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate Todd Blanche for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate Will Levi for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate another person for Attorney General?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.