Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump nominate Jeff Clark for Attorney General?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc5edc340f1cf273b29f8fc1ccfdb17aa946f05ab14e377b5449ae511d7026af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,667$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…1d41backed Yes | 6c | 2,681$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 516.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 8c | 305$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 124 | 4.8%6 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 77c | 262.92$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 9c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 9c | 152$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 13c | 136.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…7143backed Yes | 28c | 124.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +104%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 15c | 79.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…346cbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…0e72backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed No | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b2…d861backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump nominate Jeff Clark for Attorney General?this page
- Will Trump nominate Andrew Bailey for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate Emil Bove for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate Eric Schmitt for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate Jeffrey Jensen for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate John Ratcliffe for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate Matthew G. Whitaker for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate Mike Davis for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate Mike Lee for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate Todd Blanche for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate Will Levi for Attorney General?No won
- Will Trump nominate another person for Attorney General?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.