TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Pistons, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$417,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$465,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $417,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 992 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Hornets61c27,260$16,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,666.447656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Pistons27c21,704$5,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,949.976943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pistons45c16,110$7,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,234.8259646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8081…95cabacked Pistons2c15,221$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.161711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ea…2ba7backed Hornets76c15,045$11,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,540.666563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Hornets44c14,984$6,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,415.944348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets45c11,771$5,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,478.5365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c1…a4ccbacked Hornets56c11,597$6,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,055.365561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pistons33c8,927$2,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,972.7870147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Pistons18c6,957$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.564637%17 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Pistons56c4,730$2,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,648.9376249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hornets47c4,189$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.9372341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Hornets48c4,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9833752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pistons2c3,983$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.141,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Hornets44c3,183$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.2711332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x128e…a35bbacked Hornets45c2,858$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.853724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons44c2,700$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Pistons51c2,677$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.6529148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6708…90a3backed Hornets62c2,447$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.581942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons54c2,407$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.691,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e0…13a8backed Pistons56c2,041$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1402343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Hornets59c2,035$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.566744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Pistons56c2,028$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.676955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hornets50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Pistons43c1,879$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x861e…b54fbacked Hornets48c1,829$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.171266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbddb…0974backed Pistons53c1,783$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Pistons7c1,722$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.834644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Hornets35c1,652$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.533938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x943d…1d4bbacked Pistons43c1,510$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.4580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Hornets49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.7537954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Pistons57c1,482$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8457051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e1c…5386backed Hornets44c1,386$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.161154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae22…4bb7backed Hornets64c1,373$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.462839.3%11 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Hornets53c1,312$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.1423646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab15…dd2fbacked Pistons9c1,306$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.384712.8%6 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6371…c2bfbacked Pistons63c1,302$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.41258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick73cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bea…2becbacked Hornets42c1,286$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.052152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…739ebacked Pistons9c1,255$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.84650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Hornets50c1,222$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.2561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Pistons43c1,166$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49953134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Hornets57c1,166$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.3425939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2d…8b38backed Pistons55c1,157$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.541464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Hornets64c1,100$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.8923548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Hornets33c1,100$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.817536%27 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pistons40c1,080$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.481,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pistons50c1,067$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.81,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c6d…81c2backed Pistons15c1,025$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.443342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick32cpaid-8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Pistons50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Hornets45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55012154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2712…0f61backed Pistons55c999.97$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.982231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc3…be1abacked Hornets75c958.53$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.632839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Hornets47c906.87$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.648043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9711…3fa1backed Pistons51c898.2$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.082326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Pistons40c879.99$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35219943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85de…87e5backed Pistons35c794.95$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2792860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ccf…69d7backed Hornets50c790$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76b…0956backed Pistons50c790$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Hornets55c789.85$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.439052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958e…1a56backed Pistons55c763.11$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.711136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Pistons63c749.98$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9915234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6328…1375backed Pistons53c731.17$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.52742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Hornets48c729.24$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37927939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…9fd5backed Pistons56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Hornets51c657.41$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.9129043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Pistons16c625.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5819137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed Pistons53c622.64$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3304456.8%25 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5de…df2abacked Pistons53c609$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.791540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Hornets74c578.89$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.294847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Pistons47c552.04$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.3822832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Pistons56c541.18$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0615646.2%72 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Pistons25c534.82$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3638132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06b9…9150backed Hornets44c533.72$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.881145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Pistons57c504$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.288548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cd…acebbacked Hornets43c499.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2851957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9242…77a1backed Hornets45c455.24$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…ee60backed Pistons53c452.81$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9910054%54 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb27e…1961backed Pistons56c448.76$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.313060%18 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dfb…48a2backed Pistons53c443.18$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.891457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Pistons19c421.05$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2623835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5aa…b6f8backed Pistons52c419.17$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.971233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Pistons56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2248417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe6aa…d2f5backed Pistons46c386.07$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.012119%4 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-66.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Hornets54c351.79$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.699149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Pistons50c303.16$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.582634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Pistons42c297.62$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515034%51 W · 99 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Hornets37c291.11$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.410243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83ec…0a71backed Pistons17c289$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.974748.9%23 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…c2f4backed Pistons38c286.47$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102552%13 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+46.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61ea…d0c1backed Pistons14c283.42$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3213727.7%38 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…3bb3backed Pistons57c272.98$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc21…f43cbacked Hornets50c270.32$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.16683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+68.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbbe…65cdbacked Pistons52c270.19$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Hornets60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006238.7%24 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hornets48c249.88$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9457760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…1d1abacked Pistons52c248.08$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f05…a7e1backed Hornets49c247.59$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb122…fc06backed Hornets45c243.78$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c01…48b4backed Pistons56c230.93$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x044c…fc8cbacked Hornets50c229.66$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.83683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+69.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.