UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6964358a638f8db65b19aa710d942bb3a702438a58533470614a71ce096d2161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rountree Jr.of Hill, Rountree Jr.
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd22…ad91backed Rountree Jr. | 50c | 56,297$27,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,397.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Hill | 50c | 37,036$18,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,518.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7504…9c69backed Hill | 52c | 24,273$12,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,685.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Hill | 51c | 12,457$6,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,292.14 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rountree Jr. | 45c | 11,726$5,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,477.92 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Rountree Jr. | 75c | 10,965$8,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712.04 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rountree Jr. | 44c | 9,303$4,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,211.78 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Hill | 56c | 9,005$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…d716backed Hill | 49c | 8,197$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Rountree Jr. | 48c | 7,915$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Hill | 55c | 7,776$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.79 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5112backed Hill | 20c | 7,189$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Hill | 53c | 7,134$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.76 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…ec2abacked Rountree Jr. | 50c | 4,586$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Hill | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.99 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…1cd1backed Hill | 55c | 4,405$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rountree Jr. | 45c | 4,349$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.95 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Hill | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.97 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hill | 52c | 3,792$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.55 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Hill | 49c | 3,501$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Hill | 55c | 3,305$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.97 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Hill | 32c | 3,200$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.41 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Rountree Jr. | 51c | 3,200$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.88 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Rountree Jr. | 44c | 3,123$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rountree Jr. | 47c | 3,117$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.25 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Rountree Jr. | 45c | 3,083$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.54 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rountree Jr. | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Hill | 23c | 3,000$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.87 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ac…a667backed Rountree Jr. | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Rountree Jr. | 45c | 2,889$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.89 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7d…551fbacked Rountree Jr. | 51c | 2,864$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Rountree Jr. | 47c | 2,764$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.97 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Hill | 50c | 2,739$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.65 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rountree Jr. | 49c | 2,667$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.67 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Hill | 54c | 2,265$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.34 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Rountree Jr. | 48c | 2,150$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.99 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Rountree Jr. | 45c | 2,028$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Hill | 43c | 1,968$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.2 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked Rountree Jr. | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Hill | 22c | 1,851$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.15 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rountree Jr. | 49c | 1,834$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.6 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Hill | 41c | 1,787$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.03 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hill | 22c | 1,703$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.48 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Hill | 53c | 1,695$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.25 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rountree Jr. | 47c | 1,628$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.7 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Rountree Jr. | 48c | 1,388$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.26 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Rountree Jr. | 46c | 1,278$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.44 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Hill | 4c | 1,163$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a346backed Rountree Jr. | 51c | 1,148$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Hill | 13c | 1,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Rountree Jr. | 73c | 1,113$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.39 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Rountree Jr. | 46c | 1,100$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Rountree Jr. | 74c | 1,076$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.49 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rountree Jr. | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.03 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed Rountree Jr. | 46c | 1,010$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.19 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Hill | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Rountree Jr. | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rountree Jr. | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Hill | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Hill | 26c | 847.26$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Hill | 31c | 816.21$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.13 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…a13ebacked Hill | 55c | 754.55$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Rountree Jr. | 45c | 750$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Hill | 56c | 750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Hill | 44c | 733.96$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.58 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rountree Jr. | 45c | 700$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Rountree Jr. | 59c | 680.62$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.39 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Rountree Jr. | 46c | 665.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.64 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…3160backed Rountree Jr. | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Rountree Jr. | 45c | 617$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.35 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f5…7049backed Rountree Jr. | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Rountree Jr. | 48c | 599.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…a0c6backed Rountree Jr. | 80c | 580.26$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.51 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Rountree Jr. | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Hill | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Rountree Jr. | 48c | 547.92$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Hill | 37c | 546.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Rountree Jr. | 45c | 514.24$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.83 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rountree Jr. | 49c | 495$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.45 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Hill | 37c | 450$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…c96bbacked Rountree Jr. | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Rountree Jr. | 58c | 426.91$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.09 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Hill | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Hill | 50c | 404$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6623…68febacked Hill | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Rountree Jr. | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Rountree Jr. | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Rountree Jr. | 47c | 394.66$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.43 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Rountree Jr. | 56c | 361.94$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.39 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Hill | 9c | 352.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Rountree Jr. | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Hill | 43c | 339.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.35 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Hill | 46c | 335.19$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.19 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Hill | 55c | 335$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.25 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Hill | 56c | 321.43$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hill | 52c | 314.58$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.58 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Hill | 54c | 307.87$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Rountree Jr. | 47c | 301.15$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Rountree Jr. | 46c | 272.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e6…cce4backed Rountree Jr. | 48c | 265.81$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. this page
- UFC Fight Night: Abdelwahab vs. UsmanUsman won
- UFC Fight Night: Alekseeva vs. SygułaSyguła won
- UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. KunievBlaydes won
- UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. BahamondesFiziev won
- UFC Fight Night: Ko vs. ElliottKo won
- UFC Fight Night: Musayev vs. OrolbaiOrolbai won
- UFC Fight Night: Naimov vs. GradNaimov won
- UFC Fight Night: Naurdiev vs. ParkPark won
- UFC Fight Night: Sadykhov vs. MottaSadykhov won
- UFC Fight Night: Ulanbekov vs. MaksumUlanbekov won
- UFC Fight Night: Zhelezniakova vs. MullinsZhelezniakova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.