TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Kuniev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blaydesof Blaydes, Kuniev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,714

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,042 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Kuniev30c20,009$6,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,002.6619544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Blaydes69c14,614$10,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,495.313066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Blaydes69c12,173$8,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,714.4810447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Blaydes69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.9916049.4%79 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Kuniev31c6,419$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.34946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbbb…4433backed Blaydes70c4,286$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.71988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick75cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce77…35d5backed Kuniev37c4,081$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.986051.7%31 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kuniev29c3,971$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.5937152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5edc…4d06backed Kuniev32c3,750$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Blaydes45c3,236$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.5528043.2%121 W · 159 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x646b…5112backed Blaydes71c3,222$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.522540%10 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Kuniev31c3,024$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.4712541.6%52 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x007b…718cbacked Blaydes71c3,008$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blaydes71c2,830$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.1418453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Kuniev30c2,500$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7408348.2%40 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Blaydes70c2,384$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.242948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blaydes68c2,187$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.853161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Kuniev30c2,141$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.77237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Kuniev30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Kuniev32c1,842$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.58580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ac…a667backed Blaydes70c1,741$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.29580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kuniev32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c31…5240backed Kuniev31c947.58$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.758640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Kuniev43c771.9$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.1153956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Kuniev30c710.34$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.12646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Blaydes69c692.82$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.7742042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Kuniev27c621.18$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.186248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Blaydes53c599.99$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2828751.7%45 W · 42 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Kuniev31c553.68$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.648256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Kuniev29c498.85$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.678140.7%33 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Kuniev57c471$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.226035%21 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kuniev24c436.41$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4114929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Kuniev31c418.42$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.716031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-2.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8a7…8f05backed Kuniev32c416.15$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.845839.7%23 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Kuniev29c411.4$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0833948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb220…b07cbacked Kuniev30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Blaydes70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205867.2%39 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Kuniev30c333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.921044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Kuniev31c323$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.132352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…b63dbacked Kuniev31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Kuniev64c301.94$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9937754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7662…b8b9backed Blaydes72c298.91$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Blaydes70c298.67$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.68851.1%45 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Kuniev31c290.32$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc31a…174ebacked Kuniev30c287.87$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.369744.3%43 W · 54 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Blaydes71c281.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.629848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Kuniev32c247.89$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4122342.2%94 W · 129 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Kuniev30c239.04$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7118145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x982b…983cbacked Kuniev48c227$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.182454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Kuniev31c200$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9939959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Blaydes68c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.548749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1f0…e173backed Blaydes69c199.97$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.995536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Kuniev38c181.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.311145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Kuniev31c180$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5552252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Blaydes67c169.69$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5628743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Kuniev30c167$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.113450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blaydes55c165.87$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3810443.3%45 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf058…e173backed Kuniev32c165.59$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9913465.7%88 W · 46 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d7a…87ebbacked Blaydes50c163.38$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.381070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Blaydes69c163$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.539062.2%56 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Blaydes68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4816851.8%87 W · 81 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0679…bebbbacked Blaydes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.867258.3%42 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c72…5c26backed Blaydes71c142$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1810452.9%55 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Blaydes71c141.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.83650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Blaydes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8551533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e1…3b95backed Kuniev32c110$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.16462.5%40 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Blaydes70c109.35$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Blaydes22c104$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8123850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Blaydes51c103.54$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.951190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.0wins+0.36per pick55cpaid+69.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Kuniev30c103.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.423040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Blaydes16c101$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.119418.6%36 W · 158 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x328f…e16cbacked Kuniev33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x36f8…4dc3backed Kuniev31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad1…8c20backed Blaydes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307856.4%44 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10e…e895backed Kuniev32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Blaydes64c92.55$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7826451.9%137 W · 127 L+23.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd116…be32backed Blaydes76c92.23$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.121872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+73.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x239a…a0c6backed Blaydes26c91.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.64540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Kuniev31c86.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2724649.6%122 W · 124 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Kuniev30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Blaydes66c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54067.5%27 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x78f2…51a1backed Kuniev34c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Kuniev31c70.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226060%36 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fff…5c34backed Blaydes69c67.21$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.841471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf41c…c9b3backed Blaydes70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.149737.1%36 W · 61 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed Kuniev35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.514052.1%73 W · 67 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Kuniev30c49.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9918141.4%75 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked Blaydes21c49.03$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7314129.8%42 W · 99 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d73…3414backed Kuniev31c44.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e9…5ac2backed Blaydes38c43.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.984100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+119%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7207…b2b8backed Kuniev31c42.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.291040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff5…89dbbacked Kuniev31c35.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114850%24 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab43…f7b3backed Blaydes71c35.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2816058.8%94 W · 66 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Kuniev32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41e6…1f56backed Kuniev32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Blaydes69c24.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5356450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x653c…a02abacked Blaydes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.