UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Kuniev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05985398cca2660ab3f8b0cb8b4ee89e70be66aac03fc1af6a64fa28d654eb78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blaydesof Blaydes, Kuniev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kuniev | 30c | 20,009$6,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,002.66 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blaydes | 69c | 14,614$10,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,495.31 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Blaydes | 69c | 12,173$8,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.48 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blaydes | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Kuniev | 31c | 6,419$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.3 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Blaydes | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Kuniev | 37c | 4,081$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.98 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kuniev | 29c | 3,971$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.59 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…4d06backed Kuniev | 32c | 3,750$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Blaydes | 45c | 3,236$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.55 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5112backed Blaydes | 71c | 3,222$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.52 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Kuniev | 31c | 3,024$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.47 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…718cbacked Blaydes | 71c | 3,008$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blaydes | 71c | 2,830$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.14 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Kuniev | 30c | 2,500$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Blaydes | 70c | 2,384$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.24 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blaydes | 68c | 2,187$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.85 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kuniev | 30c | 2,141$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.7 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Kuniev | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Kuniev | 32c | 1,842$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ac…a667backed Blaydes | 70c | 1,741$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kuniev | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Kuniev | 31c | 947.58$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.75 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Kuniev | 43c | 771.9$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.11 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Kuniev | 30c | 710.34$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.1 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blaydes | 69c | 692.82$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.77 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Kuniev | 27c | 621.18$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.18 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Blaydes | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Kuniev | 31c | 553.68$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.64 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Kuniev | 29c | 498.85$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Kuniev | 57c | 471$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.22 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kuniev | 24c | 436.41$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Kuniev | 31c | 418.42$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.71 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…8f05backed Kuniev | 32c | 416.15$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Kuniev | 29c | 411.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.08 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…b07cbacked Kuniev | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Blaydes | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Kuniev | 30c | 333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Kuniev | 31c | 323$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked Kuniev | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Kuniev | 64c | 301.94$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.99 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…b8b9backed Blaydes | 72c | 298.91$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Blaydes | 70c | 298.67$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Kuniev | 31c | 290.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Kuniev | 30c | 287.87$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Blaydes | 71c | 281.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Kuniev | 32c | 247.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kuniev | 30c | 239.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…983cbacked Kuniev | 48c | 227$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Kuniev | 31c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Blaydes | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Blaydes | 69c | 199.97$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Kuniev | 38c | 181.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Kuniev | 31c | 180$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Blaydes | 67c | 169.69$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Kuniev | 30c | 167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blaydes | 55c | 165.87$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Kuniev | 32c | 165.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…87ebbacked Blaydes | 50c | 163.38$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Blaydes | 69c | 163$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Blaydes | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Blaydes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Blaydes | 71c | 142$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Blaydes | 71c | 141.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Blaydes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…3b95backed Kuniev | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Blaydes | 70c | 109.35$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Blaydes | 22c | 104$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Blaydes | 51c | 103.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Kuniev | 30c | 103.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Blaydes | 16c | 101$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…e16cbacked Kuniev | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Kuniev | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Blaydes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…e895backed Kuniev | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Blaydes | 64c | 92.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed Blaydes | 76c | 92.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…a0c6backed Blaydes | 26c | 91.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Kuniev | 31c | 86.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Kuniev | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blaydes | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…51a1backed Kuniev | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Kuniev | 31c | 70.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…5c34backed Blaydes | 69c | 67.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Blaydes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Kuniev | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Kuniev | 30c | 49.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Blaydes | 21c | 49.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…3414backed Kuniev | 31c | 44.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e9…5ac2backed Blaydes | 38c | 43.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…b2b8backed Kuniev | 31c | 42.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff5…89dbbacked Kuniev | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Blaydes | 71c | 35.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Kuniev | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…1f56backed Kuniev | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Blaydes | 69c | 24.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…a02abacked Blaydes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Kunievthis page
- UFC Fight Night: Abdelwahab vs. UsmanUsman won
- UFC Fight Night: Alekseeva vs. SygułaSyguła won
- UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. BahamondesFiziev won
- UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. Rountree Jr. won
- UFC Fight Night: Ko vs. ElliottKo won
- UFC Fight Night: Musayev vs. OrolbaiOrolbai won
- UFC Fight Night: Naimov vs. GradNaimov won
- UFC Fight Night: Naurdiev vs. ParkPark won
- UFC Fight Night: Sadykhov vs. MottaSadykhov won
- UFC Fight Night: Ulanbekov vs. MaksumUlanbekov won
- UFC Fight Night: Zhelezniakova vs. MullinsZhelezniakova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.