UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Ulanbekov vs. Maksum
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79be4ac09e332bfba0ddbddde7aebe3bd5cfd29223f5e03a25d5fb1ebde66651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ulanbekovof Ulanbekov, Maksum
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Maksum | 19c | 13,338$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.3 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Maksum | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Maksum | 17c | 9,312$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.07 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maksum | 19c | 5,378$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.23 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Maksum | 0c | 4,935$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Maksum | 22c | 2,307$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.44 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ulanbekov | 77c | 1,951$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.64 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maksum | 20c | 1,617$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.52 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5112backed Maksum | 16c | 1,501$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.09 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Maksum | 19c | 1,500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ulanbekov | 80c | 1,127$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maksum | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Maksum | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Maksum | 19c | 545.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Maksum | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Ulanbekov | 77c | 445.71$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed Ulanbekov | 75c | 422$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Ulanbekov | 70c | 410.01$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…b07cbacked Maksum | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Maksum | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Ulanbekov | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Maksum | 14c | 388.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Maksum | 21c | 316.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Maksum | 20c | 300.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Maksum | 30c | 220.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Ulanbekov | 73c | 207.38$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…9a24backed Ulanbekov | 80c | 172.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Ulanbekov | 78c | 167.73$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Maksum | 47c | 129.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Ulanbekov | 78c | 128.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Maksum | 19c | 125.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Maksum | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4710…febebacked Ulanbekov | 80c | 116.28$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Maksum | 25c | 109.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…a02abacked Maksum | 21c | 105.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Ulanbekov | 70c | 103.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Maksum | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…a6c4backed Maksum | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Maksum | 22c | 99.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Ulanbekov | 75c | 86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Ulanbekov | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Ulanbekov | 79c | 79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Ulanbekov | 59c | 76.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Maksum | 18c | 67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Maksum | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Maksum | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…3959backed Ulanbekov | 76c | 42.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Ulanbekov | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Ulanbekov | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…350cbacked Ulanbekov | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Ulanbekov vs. Maksumthis page
- UFC Fight Night: Abdelwahab vs. UsmanUsman won
- UFC Fight Night: Alekseeva vs. SygułaSyguła won
- UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. KunievBlaydes won
- UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. BahamondesFiziev won
- UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. Rountree Jr. won
- UFC Fight Night: Ko vs. ElliottKo won
- UFC Fight Night: Musayev vs. OrolbaiOrolbai won
- UFC Fight Night: Naimov vs. GradNaimov won
- UFC Fight Night: Naurdiev vs. ParkPark won
- UFC Fight Night: Sadykhov vs. MottaSadykhov won
- UFC Fight Night: Zhelezniakova vs. MullinsZhelezniakova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.