UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Sadykhov vs. Motta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93acfb9add72cd54dfc6b7477334f6b9808c39dc5455dc53209a966110cdf6b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sadykhovof Sadykhov, Motta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Sadykhov | 79c | 9,830$7,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.98 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Motta | 0c | 8,170$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Sadykhov | 78c | 6,000$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Motta | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5112backed Motta | 21c | 4,350$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.69 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Motta | 23c | 4,271$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.37 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sadykhov | 79c | 3,527$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.02 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Motta | 20c | 2,112$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.33 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Motta | 21c | 1,809$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.47 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Sadykhov | 75c | 1,260$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.38 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Motta | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Motta | 20c | 865.54$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.11 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Motta | 21c | 715.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.21 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Sadykhov | 65c | 699.98$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.99 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Motta | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Motta | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Motta | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Motta | 20c | 499.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Motta | 21c | 475.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Motta | 22c | 459.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Motta | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Sadykhov | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…b07cbacked Motta | 25c | 393.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Motta | 22c | 381.59$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Sadykhov | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Sadykhov | 76c | 340.85$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Motta | 21c | 327$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Sadykhov | 80c | 308.75$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Motta | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Motta | 22c | 270$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Sadykhov | 79c | 252.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6623…68febacked Sadykhov | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4710…febebacked Sadykhov | 80c | 234.95$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Motta | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Motta | 23c | 225$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Motta | 21c | 203.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Sadykhov | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Motta | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…9a24backed Sadykhov | 80c | 173.41$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Sadykhov | 78c | 170$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Sadykhov | 80c | 125.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked Sadykhov | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Motta | 19c | 112.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Sadykhov | 77c | 108.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Motta | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Sadykhov | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Motta | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Motta | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…8f05backed Sadykhov | 80c | 84.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Motta | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Sadykhov | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Sadykhov | 80c | 69.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…ae46backed Sadykhov | 80c | 51.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Motta | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…3414backed Sadykhov | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…7d99backed Sadykhov | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc063…99cfbacked Sadykhov | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…db47backed Sadykhov | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…f44cbacked Sadykhov | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Sadykhov | 78c | 23.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Sadykhov vs. Mottathis page
- UFC Fight Night: Abdelwahab vs. UsmanUsman won
- UFC Fight Night: Alekseeva vs. SygułaSyguła won
- UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. KunievBlaydes won
- UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. BahamondesFiziev won
- UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. Rountree Jr. won
- UFC Fight Night: Ko vs. ElliottKo won
- UFC Fight Night: Musayev vs. OrolbaiOrolbai won
- UFC Fight Night: Naimov vs. GradNaimov won
- UFC Fight Night: Naurdiev vs. ParkPark won
- UFC Fight Night: Ulanbekov vs. MaksumUlanbekov won
- UFC Fight Night: Zhelezniakova vs. MullinsZhelezniakova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.