UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Alekseeva vs. Syguła
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50f16b55e6b1ab5c2c5864c42df42b8e6db7332998758a8dc59007c919f95cb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sygułaof Alekseeva, Syguła
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Alekseeva | 44c | 7,735$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.46 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Syguła | 44c | 5,256$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.82 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Syguła | 65c | 3,010$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.43 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Syguła | 30c | 2,303$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.41 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Syguła | 53c | 1,563$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.36 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Alekseeva | 70c | 1,504$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.78 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Alekseeva | 41c | 1,095$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.82 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Syguła | 54c | 1,020$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.2 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Alekseeva | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Alekseeva | 61c | 999.99$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.49 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Syguła | 31c | 976.28$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.63 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Syguła | 55c | 778.27$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.13 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5112backed Alekseeva | 70c | 775$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Alekseeva | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Alekseeva | 68c | 600.25$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.17 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Syguła | 58c | 550$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.5 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Syguła | 26c | 502.57$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.9 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Alekseeva | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Alekseeva | 73c | 469.33$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.61 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Alekseeva | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Alekseeva | 70c | 350.27$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Syguła | 30c | 333$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Alekseeva | 70c | 300$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.25 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6623…68febacked Alekseeva | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Syguła | 48c | 268.13$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Alekseeva | 36c | 234$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Syguła | 62c | 206.66$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Syguła | 34c | 154$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Syguła | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 265 | 52.1%138 W · 127 L | +23.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Alekseeva | 72c | 146.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Alekseeva | 70c | 115.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Syguła | 30c | 106$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…a02abacked Syguła | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Alekseeva | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Syguła | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…cac5backed Alekseeva | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Syguła | 29c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Alekseeva | 36c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…3414backed Alekseeva | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Alekseeva | 70c | 38.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Alekseeva | 70c | 36.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…c3a8backed Syguła | 37c | 30.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7470…56c4backed Alekseeva | 54c | 27.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Alekseeva | 70c | 22.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…23ddbacked Syguła | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Syguła | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…47f1backed Syguła | 77c | 18.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 190 | 65.3%124 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Alekseeva vs. Sygułathis page
- UFC Fight Night: Abdelwahab vs. UsmanUsman won
- UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. KunievBlaydes won
- UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. BahamondesFiziev won
- UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. Rountree Jr. won
- UFC Fight Night: Ko vs. ElliottKo won
- UFC Fight Night: Musayev vs. OrolbaiOrolbai won
- UFC Fight Night: Naimov vs. GradNaimov won
- UFC Fight Night: Naurdiev vs. ParkPark won
- UFC Fight Night: Sadykhov vs. MottaSadykhov won
- UFC Fight Night: Ulanbekov vs. MaksumUlanbekov won
- UFC Fight Night: Zhelezniakova vs. MullinsZhelezniakova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.