UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Abdelwahab vs. Usman
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f3f4a08c7e7459596c85ac80be9ff13f67b40e1cb1d46fb6bc01049268a1b49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Usmanof Abdelwahab, Usman
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Abdelwahab | 71c | 11,044$7,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,860.7 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Usman | 30c | 10,000$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,039.5 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Usman | 38c | 5,067$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.81 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Abdelwahab | 62c | 3,505$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.32 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Usman | 74c | 2,001$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.2 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5112backed Usman | 22c | 1,414$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Usman | 33c | 1,101$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Usman | 41c | 1,000$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.35 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Abdelwahab | 73c | 745$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.15 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Abdelwahab | 60c | 652.01$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.2 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Abdelwahab | 59c | 584.51$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.86 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Abdelwahab | 67c | 550.53$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.73 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Abdelwahab | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…b07cbacked Usman | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Abdelwahab | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Usman | 31c | 394$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.36 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Usman | 40c | 374.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.74 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Abdelwahab | 76c | 354$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Abdelwahab | 59c | 323$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.57 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Abdelwahab | 68c | 294.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed Usman | 39c | 265.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.37 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Abdelwahab | 58c | 248$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.84 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Usman | 46c | 221$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.04 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Abdelwahab | 70c | 219$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.31 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Abdelwahab | 60c | 209$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Usman | 38c | 188.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Usman | 42c | 187.14$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Abdelwahab | 58c | 182.86$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.46 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Usman | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Abdelwahab | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Abdelwahab | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Abdelwahab | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Abdelwahab | 62c | 137.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Abdelwahab | 69c | 116.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Usman | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…e1cdbacked Abdelwahab | 62c | 91.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Abdelwahab | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Usman | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Abdelwahab | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…3a34backed Abdelwahab | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Abdelwahab | 69c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Usman | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Abdelwahab | 61c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Abdelwahab | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…06dcbacked Usman | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…47f1backed Abdelwahab | 73c | 34.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 190 | 65.3%124 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…3b95backed Abdelwahab | 74c | 30.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Abdelwahab | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Usman | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Usman | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Abdelwahab | 67c | 19.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…7b4ebacked Abdelwahab | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Abdelwahab vs. Usmanthis page
- UFC Fight Night: Alekseeva vs. SygułaSyguła won
- UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. KunievBlaydes won
- UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. BahamondesFiziev won
- UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. Rountree Jr. won
- UFC Fight Night: Ko vs. ElliottKo won
- UFC Fight Night: Musayev vs. OrolbaiOrolbai won
- UFC Fight Night: Naimov vs. GradNaimov won
- UFC Fight Night: Naurdiev vs. ParkPark won
- UFC Fight Night: Sadykhov vs. MottaSadykhov won
- UFC Fight Night: Ulanbekov vs. MaksumUlanbekov won
- UFC Fight Night: Zhelezniakova vs. MullinsZhelezniakova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.