TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Bahamondes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fizievof Fiziev, Bahamondes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,100
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,100 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Bahamondes55c50,533$27,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,582.8835253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd22…ad91backed Fiziev44c49,999$22,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,807.091752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93fc…34b6backed Fiziev48c30,400$14,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,915.951637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Bahamondes55c20,516$11,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,283.7310447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Bahamondes53c14,843$7,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,866.94742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Fiziev45c13,300$5,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,304.54946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce77…35d5backed Bahamondes50c9,710$4,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,891.826051.7%31 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Fiziev44c6,940$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,917.152948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bahamondes56c5,613$3,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,143.3642042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Bahamondes0c4,900$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1319418.6%36 W · 158 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x646b…5112backed Fiziev44c4,465$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,516.882540%10 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Bahamondes57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.9810542.9%45 W · 60 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Bahamondes56c3,638$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.273161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Fiziev59c3,524$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.9810443.3%45 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Fiziev45c3,354$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.223748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Bahamondes56c3,275$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8443661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce37…b17bbacked Bahamondes57c3,043$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.471338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Fiziev43c2,822$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,608.6116049.4%79 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Bahamondes55c2,524$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.0311761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bahamondes53c2,418$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27514929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x476a…76bdbacked Bahamondes52c2,308$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2006262.9%39 W · 23 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Fiziev44c2,275$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2748348.2%40 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Bahamondes57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1401723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7eed…5a28backed Fiziev45c1,952$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.316829.4%20 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fiziev46c1,896$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.9118453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Bahamondes51c1,598$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.8611540%46 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Fiziev43c1,505$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.6512134.7%42 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Bahamondes58c1,500$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.083740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Bahamondes55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.977237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Fiziev64c1,301$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.9353956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Fiziev58c1,299$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.6528043.2%121 W · 159 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Bahamondes56c1,288$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.2825251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Fiziev41c1,277$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.4637152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Fiziev43c1,150$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.513044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Fiziev44c1,100$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.9816955.6%94 W · 75 L+23.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+59.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Fiziev44c1,050$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58835826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e7…c7c7backed Bahamondes52c1,007$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.781735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-47.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bahamondes57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Bahamondes55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Bahamondes56c999.98$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.991040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Bahamondes59c988.55$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.368851.1%45 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Fiziev50c766.03$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.720249%99 W · 103 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976c…62b8backed Fiziev43c759.05$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.661338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bahamondes57c713$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.4118560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Bahamondes13c700$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Bahamondes47c636.69$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.361145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Fiziev51c591.94$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.3231855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Fiziev43c581.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x396a…e1e4backed Fiziev44c543$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3032846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1f0…e173backed Fiziev48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2605536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Fiziev42c500$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28832545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbe…d11cbacked Bahamondes58c465.52$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked Bahamondes20c455.97$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3114129.8%42 W · 99 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6623…68febacked Bahamondes57c438.69$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Fiziev77c408.7$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9417158.5%100 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Fiziev50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005867.2%39 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Bahamondes54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21648749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x239a…a0c6backed Bahamondes14c380$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.64540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bahamondes54c367$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20033253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Bahamondes55c356$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.216035%21 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa289…d95cbacked Bahamondes12c353.84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffc…6988backed Bahamondes38c350$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.58535.3%30 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Bahamondes58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc31a…174ebacked Bahamondes59c340.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009744.3%43 W · 54 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Fiziev43c332.51$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.896060%36 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Fiziev44c318.18$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1851533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c54…82babacked Fiziev48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.58757.5%50 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68bb…812cbacked Fiziev44c311.82$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.621435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Fiziev45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2739959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f5…7049backed Bahamondes58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1742142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Fiziev44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1682133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Bahamondes54c299.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1628655.8%48 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Fiziev49c299.98$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9928743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Bahamondes50c269.05$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5356450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Fiziev42c261.39$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.623850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Bahamondes58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14522661.9%140 W · 86 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Fiziev43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.536745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a2…f2c2backed Fiziev44c229.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.553100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+92.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e9…ee46backed Fiziev46c228.26$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2610650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Fiziev44c228$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.682352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Fiziev42c224.75$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.3521044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x998c…6f97backed Fiziev45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…6689backed Bahamondes57c209.02$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Fiziev42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1168751.7%45 W · 42 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Fiziev43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Fiziev42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11614144.7%63 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Fiziev45c199.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11022753.3%121 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Bahamondes55c199.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9933948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2771…05debacked Bahamondes58c198.28$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153050%15 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Fiziev43c197.67$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.673158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c72…5c26backed Bahamondes58c172$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7610452.9%55 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0679…bebbbacked Fiziev44c159.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.097258.3%42 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x653c…a02abacked Fiziev44c159.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.091656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Fiziev43c145.68$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6452252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71e1…c440backed Fiziev45c144.44$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.443237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Fiziev45c144.24$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2418644.1%82 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Bahamondes42c139.77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.22944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Bahamondes51c117.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6812262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9bb…79cebacked Fiziev43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a61…f44cbacked Fiziev43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.28875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.