UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Bahamondes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b0077425c4b1f61941611c2180ac5a1d9b0ca1f86da85f9c9ee46984d3635c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fizievof Fiziev, Bahamondes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bahamondes | 55c | 50,533$27,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,582.88 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…ad91backed Fiziev | 44c | 49,999$22,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,807.09 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Fiziev | 48c | 30,400$14,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,915.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Bahamondes | 55c | 20,516$11,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,283.73 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Bahamondes | 53c | 14,843$7,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,866.9 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Fiziev | 45c | 13,300$5,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,304.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Bahamondes | 50c | 9,710$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,891.82 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Fiziev | 44c | 6,940$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bahamondes | 56c | 5,613$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.36 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bahamondes | 0c | 4,900$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5112backed Fiziev | 44c | 4,465$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.88 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Bahamondes | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.98 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Bahamondes | 56c | 3,638$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.27 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Fiziev | 59c | 3,524$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.98 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Fiziev | 45c | 3,354$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Bahamondes | 56c | 3,275$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Bahamondes | 57c | 3,043$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Fiziev | 43c | 2,822$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.61 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Bahamondes | 55c | 2,524$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.03 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bahamondes | 53c | 2,418$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Bahamondes | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Fiziev | 44c | 2,275$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Bahamondes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Fiziev | 45c | 1,952$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.31 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fiziev | 46c | 1,896$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.91 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bahamondes | 51c | 1,598$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.86 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Fiziev | 43c | 1,505$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.65 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Bahamondes | 58c | 1,500$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.08 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Bahamondes | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.97 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Fiziev | 64c | 1,301$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.93 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Fiziev | 58c | 1,299$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.65 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Bahamondes | 56c | 1,288$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.28 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Fiziev | 41c | 1,277$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.46 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Fiziev | 43c | 1,150$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.5 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Fiziev | 44c | 1,100$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.98 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +23.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Fiziev | 44c | 1,050$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…c7c7backed Bahamondes | 52c | 1,007$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.78 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bahamondes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Bahamondes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Bahamondes | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Bahamondes | 59c | 988.55$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.36 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Fiziev | 50c | 766.03$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.7 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Fiziev | 43c | 759.05$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bahamondes | 57c | 713$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.41 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Bahamondes | 13c | 700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Bahamondes | 47c | 636.69$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Fiziev | 51c | 591.94$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.32 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Fiziev | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…e1e4backed Fiziev | 44c | 543$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Fiziev | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Fiziev | 42c | 500$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…d11cbacked Bahamondes | 58c | 465.52$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Bahamondes | 20c | 455.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6623…68febacked Bahamondes | 57c | 438.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Fiziev | 77c | 408.7$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Fiziev | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Bahamondes | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…a0c6backed Bahamondes | 14c | 380$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bahamondes | 54c | 367$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Bahamondes | 55c | 356$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.21 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…d95cbacked Bahamondes | 12c | 353.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Bahamondes | 38c | 350$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Bahamondes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Bahamondes | 59c | 340.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Fiziev | 43c | 332.51$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.89 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Fiziev | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.18 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…82babacked Fiziev | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…812cbacked Fiziev | 44c | 311.82$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Fiziev | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.27 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f5…7049backed Bahamondes | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Fiziev | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Bahamondes | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Fiziev | 49c | 299.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bahamondes | 50c | 269.05$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.53 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Fiziev | 42c | 261.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.6 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Bahamondes | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Fiziev | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a2…f2c2backed Fiziev | 44c | 229.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Fiziev | 46c | 228.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.26 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Fiziev | 44c | 228$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Fiziev | 42c | 224.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Fiziev | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…6689backed Bahamondes | 57c | 209.02$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Fiziev | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Fiziev | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Fiziev | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Fiziev | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Bahamondes | 55c | 199.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2771…05debacked Bahamondes | 58c | 198.28$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Fiziev | 43c | 197.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Bahamondes | 58c | 172$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Fiziev | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…a02abacked Fiziev | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Fiziev | 43c | 145.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…c440backed Fiziev | 45c | 144.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Fiziev | 45c | 144.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Bahamondes | 42c | 139.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Bahamondes | 51c | 117.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bb…79cebacked Fiziev | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…f44cbacked Fiziev | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Bahamondesthis page
- UFC Fight Night: Abdelwahab vs. UsmanUsman won
- UFC Fight Night: Alekseeva vs. SygułaSyguła won
- UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. KunievBlaydes won
- UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. Rountree Jr. won
- UFC Fight Night: Ko vs. ElliottKo won
- UFC Fight Night: Musayev vs. OrolbaiOrolbai won
- UFC Fight Night: Naimov vs. GradNaimov won
- UFC Fight Night: Naurdiev vs. ParkPark won
- UFC Fight Night: Sadykhov vs. MottaSadykhov won
- UFC Fight Night: Ulanbekov vs. MaksumUlanbekov won
- UFC Fight Night: Zhelezniakova vs. MullinsZhelezniakova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.