UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Ko vs. Elliott
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67aa15005e354d79f2d0e534b27c96298f9624330babdfca04a8881428d9316b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Koof Ko, Elliott
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x646b…5112backed Elliott | 3c | 16,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Ko | 19c | 10,286$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,338.59 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked Ko | 33c | 6,338$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,264.97 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Ko | 19c | 4,156$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.92 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Elliott | 80c | 3,898$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.98 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed Elliott | 75c | 3,250$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Elliott | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Elliott | 1c | 2,393$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Elliott | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Elliott | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Elliott | 78c | 1,636$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.89 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Ko | 20c | 1,356$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.8 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Elliott | 55c | 1,329$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.13 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +23.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…81fdbacked Ko | 27c | 1,156$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Elliott | 76c | 800.52$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.39 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…c90ebacked Ko | 23c | 760$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +198.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Ko | 57c | 750.72$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.56 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…7403backed Ko | 25c | 620.52$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.39 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Ko | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Ko | 25c | 501.66$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.6 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Elliott | 80c | 500.53$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54eb…0371backed Ko | 24c | 499.96$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ko | 21c | 438.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.02 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f4…856abacked Ko | 26c | 389.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Elliott | 79c | 381.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Ko | 38c | 370$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 265 | 52.1%138 W · 127 L | +23.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Ko | 26c | 355.18$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.88 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Ko | 60c | 318.2$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.7 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Ko | 19c | 304.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.82 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…293dbacked Ko | 23c | 278.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.85 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Ko | 19c | 270$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Ko | 25c | 261.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.11 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Ko | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Ko | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Ko | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Ko | 19c | 250$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Elliott | 80c | 247$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Ko | 20c | 225$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Elliott | 42c | 202.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Ko | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Elliott | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Ko | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Ko | 25c | 196.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.85 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4710…febebacked Ko | 62c | 188.16$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Elliott | 45c | 184.81$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Elliott | 79c | 169.29$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…8f05backed Ko | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Elliott | 71c | 149.89$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.04 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Ko | 34c | 141.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked Ko | 24c | 137.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Elliott | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Ko | 26c | 117$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc24…3502backed Ko | 20c | 110$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Ko | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…08c7backed Ko | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…2436backed Ko | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +111%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Elliott | 67c | 99.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Ko | 32c | 79.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Ko | 20c | 57.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Ko | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Elliott | 74c | 45.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…a02abacked Ko | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…47f1backed Ko | 66c | 42.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 190 | 65.3%124 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…6960backed Ko | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…a6c4backed Elliott | 74c | 32.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Ko vs. Elliottthis page
- UFC Fight Night: Abdelwahab vs. UsmanUsman won
- UFC Fight Night: Alekseeva vs. SygułaSyguła won
- UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. KunievBlaydes won
- UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. BahamondesFiziev won
- UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. Rountree Jr. won
- UFC Fight Night: Musayev vs. OrolbaiOrolbai won
- UFC Fight Night: Naimov vs. GradNaimov won
- UFC Fight Night: Naurdiev vs. ParkPark won
- UFC Fight Night: Sadykhov vs. MottaSadykhov won
- UFC Fight Night: Ulanbekov vs. MaksumUlanbekov won
- UFC Fight Night: Zhelezniakova vs. MullinsZhelezniakova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.