TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee9e…e1cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: UFC, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GEN vs. T1backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+62.6%+$11.55
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. LGD Gamingbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.3
League of Legends: T1 vs. Nongshim Red Forcebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
League of Legends: DN Freecs vs. DRXbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. KT Rolsterbacked Hanwha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$29.89
League of Legends: T1 vs. Gen.Gbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Gen.G win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$23.65
Will T1 win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. G2backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+642.5%+$77.88
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.4
League of Legends: Hanwha Life vs. AG.ALbacked Hanwha Life · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$252.8
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. CTBC Flying Oysterbacked CTBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
League of Legends: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. GAMbacked CTBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+73.5%+$70.34
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+138%+$86.28
Will Anyone's Legend win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.95
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.19
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+77%+$80.94
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. FlyQuestbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+54.5%+$37.05
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+54.7%+$15.98
MSI Playoffs: G2 Esports vs. FlyQuestbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 24 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+43.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$33.5
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$60.58
UFC Fight Night: Almabayev vs. Ochoabacked Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.99
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylovbacked Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.04
UFC 318 Parlay – Holloway + Holland backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+71.4%+$12.5
UFC 318: Phillips vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$36.55
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen backed Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeirabacked Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+265.5%+$56.66
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Bonfimbacked Thompson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.23
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Garciabacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+68.8%+$16.3
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-Francebacked Kara-France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.4
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. backed Rountree Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+104%+$83.23
UFC Fight Night: Abdelwahab vs. Usmanbacked Abdelwahab · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.4
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckleybacked Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+216.5%+$32.14
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+37.9%+$5.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bengals grow up?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mets vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.