UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15dc794f04549059da87dbf109e94733998d1d813e7ece9b14fd2a25fea84d96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Usmanof Usman, Buckley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Buckley | 66c | 19,299$12,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,702.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe2…cc79backed Buckley | 0c | 15,825$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Buckley | 65c | 15,198$9,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,940.34 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Usman | 36c | 13,334$4,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,541.37 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Buckley | 67c | 13,165$8,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,796 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Buckley | 65c | 12,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.95 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7504…9c69backed Buckley | 58c | 11,433$6,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,593.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Usman | 44c | 10,603$4,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,961.85 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Usman | 33c | 8,750$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,872.59 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Usman | 35c | 8,101$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,294.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Usman | 33c | 7,739$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,175.38 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Usman | 34c | 7,563$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,991.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Usman | 34c | 6,666$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.55 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Usman | 39c | 5,203$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.79 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Usman | 35c | 5,162$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Buckley | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a44…7292backed Usman | 33c | 4,986$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…2965backed Buckley | 67c | 4,506$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Usman | 50c | 4,453$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.67 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Usman | 73c | 4,389$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.8 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Buckley | 66c | 4,129$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.91 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Usman | 35c | 4,011$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.96 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Buckley | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Usman | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Usman | 32c | 4,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.95 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Buckley | 66c | 3,762$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.99 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Usman | 33c | 3,505$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.11 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Buckley | 67c | 3,355$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Buckley | 66c | 3,273$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Usman | 63c | 3,082$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.19 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Usman | 33c | 3,017$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.48 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Usman | 34c | 2,986$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.7 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Usman | 33c | 2,640$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.8 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Buckley | 67c | 2,596$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.67 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0144…86f5backed Usman | 35c | 2,191$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Buckley | 69c | 2,150$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.49 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Usman | 34c | 2,050$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.49 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Usman | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.99 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Buckley | 50c | 1,862$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.65 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…e11cbacked Buckley | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Buckley | 67c | 1,494$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Usman | 35c | 1,482$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.3 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Buckley | 71c | 1,417$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d61…0b38backed Buckley | 5c | 1,181$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Usman | 80c | 1,166$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Buckley | 67c | 1,144$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.48 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Usman | 79c | 1,132$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.52 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Buckley | 68c | 1,103$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Usman | 62c | 1,075$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.22 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Usman | 33c | 1,068$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.72 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…bf90backed Buckley | 72c | 1,042$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Usman | 28c | 1,032$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Usman | 35c | 1,007$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.33 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Buckley | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Buckley | 10c | 1,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Usman | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Usman | 54c | 947.15$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.12 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…3160backed Usman | 32c | 938.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Buckley | 66c | 900$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Buckley | 64c | 889.06$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.23 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb010…b243backed Buckley | 68c | 888.82$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…8429backed Usman | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…fd9fbacked Buckley | 68c | 800$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Buckley | 68c | 794.12$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Buckley | 68c | 749.97$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.48 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3930…13b0backed Usman | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Usman | 35c | 593.14$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.14 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a346backed Usman | 34c | 582.06$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Buckley | 67c | 576.16$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Usman | 34c | 570$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.2 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…9878backed Usman | 65c | 543.29$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Buckley | 67c | 540$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.8 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Buckley | 11c | 535.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…3868backed Buckley | 73c | 514.12$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Usman | 30c | 500.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.68 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Usman | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Buckley | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…82babacked Usman | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Buckley | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Buckley | 68c | 487.9$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.41 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Buckley | 67c | 482.15$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.04 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Buckley | 68c | 450$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Usman | 33c | 433.67$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Usman | 34c | 433.37$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d37…5effbacked Buckley | 72c | 416.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Buckley | 16c | 411.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x015a…99d0backed Buckley | 68c | 404.69$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x804a…6c38backed Usman | 35c | 387$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.62 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Usman | 37c | 382.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.26 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Buckley | 17c | 376.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Buckley | 69c | 372.86$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.27 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…29dbbacked Buckley | 73c | 371.43$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Buckley | 61c | 340$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Usman | 38c | 330.79$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.09 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Usman | 30c | 330.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.65 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Usman | 31c | 326.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.62 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5236…3e73backed Usman | 31c | 315.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Usman | 36c | 312.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.7 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Buckley | 67c | 310$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…89c2backed Buckley | 40c | 305.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckleythis page
- UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Malik vs. BrundageAbdul-Malik won
- UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. McGeeChiesa won
- UFC Fight Night: Durden vs. OchoaOchoa won
- UFC Fight Night: Garbrandt vs. BarcelosBarcelos won
- UFC Fight Night: Horth vs. DemopoulosHorth won
- UFC Fight Night: Menifield vs. SyMenifield won
- UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. MaverickNamajunas won
- UFC Fight Night: Rowe vs. LoosaRowe won
- UFC Fight Night: Shahbazyan vs. PetroskiShahbazyan won
- UFC Fight Night: Simon vs. Smotherman Simon won
- UFC Fight Night: Wellmaker vs. MoutinhoWellmaker won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.