UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Maverick
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58a845ca477ab4348ce4ec351d49ca36ebd2dc7b15223c9bc23a492d5644e2db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Namajunasof Namajunas, Maverick
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Maverick | 32c | 79,179$25,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,520.45 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Namajunas | 68c | 35,492$23,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,512.63 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Maverick | 38c | 22,665$8,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,551.47 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Namajunas | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Namajunas | 52c | 9,817$5,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,677.88 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Namajunas | 67c | 8,524$5,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.68 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Namajunas | 69c | 6,419$4,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.22 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Namajunas | 72c | 6,022$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.67 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Namajunas | 63c | 4,453$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.42 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Namajunas | 64c | 4,220$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.99 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0144…86f5backed Namajunas | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Namajunas | 67c | 3,849$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.64 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Maverick | 17c | 3,041$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.94 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Maverick | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Namajunas | 67c | 2,960$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Namajunas | 69c | 2,926$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.06 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Maverick | 35c | 2,861$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Namajunas | 68c | 2,807$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.19 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Namajunas | 67c | 2,334$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.67 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Namajunas | 67c | 2,120$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Namajunas | 67c | 1,681$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.97 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Maverick | 31c | 1,666$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.48 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Maverick | 33c | 1,629$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.8 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Maverick | 16c | 1,526$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.01 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Namajunas | 65c | 1,435$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.48 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Namajunas | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Namajunas | 69c | 1,367$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.44 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Maverick | 32c | 1,345$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.85 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Maverick | 32c | 1,050$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.88 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Maverick | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Maverick | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maverick | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3930…13b0backed Namajunas | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Maverick | 32c | 999.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Namajunas | 67c | 824.96$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.24 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Maverick | 12c | 652.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Namajunas | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed Namajunas | 66c | 600$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Namajunas | 70c | 519.97$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Maverick | 20c | 504.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Namajunas | 67c | 450$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Maverick | 28c | 448.32$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.53 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Maverick | 32c | 368.74$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Maverick | 31c | 350.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.71 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…900fbacked Maverick | 33c | 350$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Namajunas | 67c | 309.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Maverick | 38c | 306.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Maverick | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Maverick | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Namajunas | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Maverick | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Namajunas | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Maverick | 34c | 294.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Maverick | 34c | 293.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Namajunas | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Namajunas | 18c | 242$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.09 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Maverick | 33c | 236.62$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Namajunas | 69c | 233.81$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Namajunas | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Namajunas | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Namajunas | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Maverick | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…a0c6backed Maverick | 17c | 190$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Maverick | 32c | 184.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…67c3backed Namajunas | 65c | 171.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Maverick | 42c | 170.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Maverick | 35c | 170$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Maverick | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…82babacked Namajunas | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Namajunas | 65c | 137.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Maverick | 32c | 134.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Maverick | 30c | 129.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b28…95fcbacked Maverick | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…3414backed Namajunas | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Namajunas | 67c | 116.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…ae49backed Namajunas | 69c | 110.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Namajunas | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Maverick | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Namajunas | 65c | 97.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Namajunas | 65c | 93.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…68dfbacked Maverick | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Maverick | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…673fbacked Maverick | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Namajunas | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Maverick | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Namajunas | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…0638backed Namajunas | 71c | 70.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Maverick | 19c | 67.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Maverick | 21c | 67.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Namajunas | 68c | 65.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Maverick | 34c | 62.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Namajunas | 68c | 61.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Maverick | 32c | 60.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddb…c2a4backed Maverick | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1750…f000backed Maverick | 33c | 60.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Maverick | 32c | 59.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed Maverick | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea6…674dbacked Namajunas | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Namajunas | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Namajunas | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Maverickthis page
- UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Malik vs. BrundageAbdul-Malik won
- UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. McGeeChiesa won
- UFC Fight Night: Durden vs. OchoaOchoa won
- UFC Fight Night: Garbrandt vs. BarcelosBarcelos won
- UFC Fight Night: Horth vs. DemopoulosHorth won
- UFC Fight Night: Menifield vs. SyMenifield won
- UFC Fight Night: Rowe vs. LoosaRowe won
- UFC Fight Night: Shahbazyan vs. PetroskiShahbazyan won
- UFC Fight Night: Simon vs. Smotherman Simon won
- UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. BuckleyUsman won
- UFC Fight Night: Wellmaker vs. MoutinhoWellmaker won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.