TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5599…98c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$148.65
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.1
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$198.2
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$742.5
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$683.5
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105.93
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$975.15
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$178.38
Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$69.37
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.8%+$345.79
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,782Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+46.8%+$834
Will Solana dip to $140 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+32.6%+$211.41
Will Solana dip to $130 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+46%+$454.98
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+49%+$22.07
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.47
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.89
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$134.78
Will Solana dip to $120 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.24
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+464.8%+$211.04
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.11
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$34.2
Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Khachanovbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
ATP Toronto – Rublev vs. Fritzbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
ATP Toronto – Michelsen vs. Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$17.79
ATP Toronto – Cobolli vs. Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$22.24
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Arnaldibacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$41.22
ATP Kitzbuhel: Misolic vs. Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.45
Swiss Open: Cerundolo vs. Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$9.9
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.33
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Samsonova (W) backed Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov backed Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Sonego backed Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Navarro (W)backed Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Wimbledon: Samsonova vs. Maneiro (W) backed Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.95
Wimbledon: Alexandrova vs. Bencic (W) backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$26.4
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli backed Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Wimbledon: Noskova vs. Anisimova (W) backed Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Tien backed Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.25
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Perricardbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+37.2%+$33.99
Wimbledon: Basilashvili vs. Musetti backed Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$190.93
Wimbledon: Ruse vs. Keys (W) backed Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.77
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shohei Ohtani be named the 2025 World Series MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$49.55
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.07
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Pirates vs. Marinersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
White Sox vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+100%+$14.85
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Angels vs. Blue Jaysbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Brewers vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
White Sox vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.55
Astros vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.4
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Orioles vs. Bravesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$8.99
Brewers vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$19.68
Red Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Twins vs. Raysbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+80.4%+$47.74
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+201.5%+$119.72
Athletics vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.25
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+214.6%+$64.77
Guardians vs. Giantsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$99.1
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$39.64
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+209.8%+$207.74
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$9.77
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.45
Santos vs. Yoobacked Yoo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.86
UFC 318: Will Poirier win by decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.75
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.75
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-Francebacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanbacked Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$12.34
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
UFC 317: Talbott vs. Limabacked Lima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckleybacked Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Maverickbacked Maverick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+203%+$140.84
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$198
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+213.7%+$45.77
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+27.2%+$26.95
Another US military action against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.58
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Sunday June  22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+77.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+128.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico beat USA? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+150%+$22.28
Gold Cup Final Winner: USA vs. Mexico backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$10.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$222.85
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+156.4%+$61.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+154.5%+$23.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$121.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.