NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5da21cf4c88ca62200c3a5905de466b451cf79fb983f0aa099157d347c88f4d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51c6…46b3backed Spurs | 35c | 9,999$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…6fd1backed Lakers | 65c | 9,996$6,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Lakers | 76c | 2,426$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.95 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Lakers | 4c | 2,275$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.8 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Spurs | 25c | 2,273$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.44 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7429…247cbacked Spurs | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b3…bfdbbacked Spurs | 35c | 1,900$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Spurs | 30c | 1,524$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.24 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Spurs | 1c | 1,152$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902b…92edbacked Spurs | 35c | 1,066$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x281b…0d88backed Lakers | 65c | 1,062$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e0d4backed Lakers | 65c | 1,054$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…3279backed Lakers | 65c | 1,046$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a8…be6ebacked Lakers | 65c | 1,046$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2198…d9d4backed Spurs | 35c | 1,034$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5d…88aebacked Lakers | 70c | 995.9$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…0f95backed Lakers | 65c | 938$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8f…9e4dbacked Lakers | 65c | 854$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Spurs | 30c | 616.86$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.06 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Lakers | 69c | 577.96$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.97 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Spurs | 32c | 559.06$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.99 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Lakers | 25c | 473.54$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.66 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Spurs | 33c | 469.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed Spurs | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Spurs | 33c | 306.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…9eacbacked Lakers | 71c | 270.35$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Spurs | 64c | 256.47$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.91 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Lakers | 71c | 247.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Spurs | 30c | 230.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Lakers | 70c | 225$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Spurs | 70c | 213.01$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Spurs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lakers | 71c | 183.82$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 40c | 174.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…a5aebacked Lakers | 72c | 154.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Lakers | 67c | 149.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Spurs | 30c | 131$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Lakers | 64c | 122.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Spurs | 30c | 119.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Lakers | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…90c1backed Lakers | 65c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce43…a695backed Lakers | 65c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…d76bbacked Spurs | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…5374backed Lakers | 69c | 110$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b6…e624backed Spurs | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Lakers | 70c | 101$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 210 | 62.9%132 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Spurs | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…e9c1backed Spurs | 32c | 99.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…1a78backed Lakers | 71c | 78.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Spurs | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…a193backed Lakers | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Lakers | 55c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…22ecbacked Lakers | 69c | 66.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Lakers | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Spurs | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Spurs | 37c | 58.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Lakers | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Spurs | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…a16abacked Spurs | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…afbfbacked Lakers | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7b…75ecbacked Lakers | 70c | 47.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Spurs | 31c | 45.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed Spurs | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spurs | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Lakers | 67c | 42.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Spurs | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | -20.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Spurs | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Spurs | 28c | 38.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…8652backed Lakers | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…36a3backed Spurs | 39c | 36.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e20…5e20backed Spurs | 33c | 36.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…a6a6backed Lakers | 70c | 36.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Spurs | 33c | 35.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Lakers | 68c | 34.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69f…8c8cbacked Spurs | 39c | 33.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Spurs | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Spurs | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 345 | 48.7%168 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…3324backed Lakers | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…2bbdbacked Lakers | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…5724backed Lakers | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…3d98backed Lakers | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Lakers | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…11c9backed Lakers | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4f…6008backed Lakers | 63c | 28.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Lakers | 60c | 25.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339f…9f2cbacked Lakers | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Lakers | 70c | 17.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c0…1480backed Lakers | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…a728backed Lakers | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.