NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebaee7f732d65da233bcc975f489844814fe6673fcb743628b4d9baad7887f7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 53c | 20,071$10,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,433.51 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Pistons | 39c | 16,645$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 13,058$7,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,223.36 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Timberwolves | 63c | 8,069$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.92 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pistons | 36c | 5,054$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.42 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Timberwolves | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Pistons | 41c | 2,828$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.48 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Timberwolves | 62c | 2,750$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.1 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729d…d851backed Pistons | 54c | 2,475$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Pistons | 25c | 2,209$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.44 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pistons | 41c | 2,194$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.78 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pistons | 46c | 2,176$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.39 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Pistons | 35c | 2,000$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Timberwolves | 59c | 1,821$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.82 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 35c | 1,787$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.86 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Pistons | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Pistons | 34c | 1,738$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…c26fbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 1,557$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.59 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…c5e2backed Timberwolves | 58c | 1,345$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…e826backed Pistons | 42c | 1,345$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…025bbacked Pistons | 35c | 1,142$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 1,141$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.51 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Pistons | 45c | 1,118$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Pistons | 22c | 1,014$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pistons | 35c | 999.59$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Pistons | 35c | 999$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.95 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecb…c20fbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 893.94$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Pistons | 36c | 879.09$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.31 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Pistons | 34c | 680.09$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.23 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 680.09$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.23 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Pistons | 39c | 665.85$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.68 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Pistons | 35c | 629.67$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.87 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Timberwolves | 64c | 521$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.56 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Timberwolves | 58c | 499.88$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.95 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Pistons | 42c | 438.96$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Timberwolves | 66c | 437.06$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Pistons | 32c | 433.91$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pistons | 37c | 426.64$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed Timberwolves | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pistons | 3c | 397$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Timberwolves | 63c | 392.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Timberwolves | 64c | 385$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Timberwolves | 60c | 377.8$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Timberwolves | 69c | 339.67$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.96 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Pistons | 25c | 338.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Timberwolves | 70c | 330$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Pistons | 39c | 300$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pistons | 40c | 299.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Pistons | 26c | 288.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Timberwolves | 60c | 287.82$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Timberwolves | 70c | 286.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…5d77backed Timberwolves | 64c | 277$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pistons | 37c | 271.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pistons | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…8b1dbacked Pistons | 40c | 260$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Pistons | 42c | 257.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.44 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…cefebacked Timberwolves | 60c | 255$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…d2d1backed Timberwolves | 64c | 253$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Timberwolves | 59c | 244.96$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pistons | 26c | 231.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Pistons | 44c | 229.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…ae7cbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 220.71$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Timberwolves | 55c | 219.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…603dbacked Pistons | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pistons | 39c | 208.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Pistons | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Timberwolves | 49c | 192.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Pistons | 35c | 184.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Pistons | 27c | 183.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…4142backed Pistons | 36c | 166$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 158$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Timberwolves | 65c | 155.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 154.85$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Timberwolves | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Pistons | 35c | 149.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc3…127ebacked Pistons | 37c | 148.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1f…acc2backed Pistons | 37c | 146.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…946dbacked Pistons | 36c | 142.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…9250backed Pistons | 37c | 138$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Timberwolves | 66c | 136.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7e…e673backed Pistons | 37c | 126$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 125$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…3045backed Pistons | 35c | 125$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…3e93backed Timberwolves | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…8f96backed Timberwolves | 66c | 106.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Pistons | 39c | 101.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…8061backed Pistons | 37c | 100.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Pistons | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46b…376cbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7754…ec61backed Pistons | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Pistons | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Pistons | 49c | 94.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…3463backed Pistons | 35c | 92.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Pistons | 38c | 92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Pistons | 44c | 91.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8f…6000backed Timberwolves | 60c | 86.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…b0bcbacked Pistons | 42c | 86.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.