Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $130 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04a17bf09aed586208bee1c0be6eaa2fdf9ba3d859628a9f9cf5453c4942de99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 13c | 56,519$7,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,148.02 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…ce1bbacked Yes | 25c | 18,000$4,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,579.99 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 12,490$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 72c | 10,480$7,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.4 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1b…d367backed No | 78c | 5,823$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…50c7backed Yes | 8c | 3,237$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed No | 75c | 2,802$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.44 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 9c | 2,314$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.89 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked No | 68c | 2,191$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.44 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed Yes | 39c | 1,999$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.79 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 75c | 1,800$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,628$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed No | 69c | 1,445$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.98 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,265$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,210$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.1 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…d1e2backed Yes | 4c | 723$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…18d9backed Yes | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…22d1backed No | 80c | 690.8$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 19c | 638.59$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…ed1fbacked Yes | 50c | 603.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.03 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked No | 67c | 542.14$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.76 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…ce08backed Yes | 4c | 513$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 38c | 400$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…b594backed No | 58c | 346.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.49 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…205bbacked No | 63c | 337.59$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.92 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Yes | 16c | 309.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed No | 53c | 246.88$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dab…89cfbacked Yes | 4c | 235$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…c11dbacked No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1099…903cbacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…16c0backed Yes | 30c | 195.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x936d…5c15backed No | 58c | 185$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 54c | 159$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…6d6cbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8477…f652backed No | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…e589backed Yes | 44c | 58.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…f9bebacked Yes | 18c | 57.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4098…403cbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…6cf8backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 49c | 39.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…7853backed No | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4d…f7dbbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d5…6b05backed No | 80c | 25.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec2…f266backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…f262backed No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd310…be53backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 67 | 77.6%52 W · 15 L | +12.1wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $130 in July?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $170 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $200 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $205 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $220 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.