Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $160 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdedaf9da8326e0e969b61682c4f04517fb9f38e5991f445babfc7f4458ea145e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed No | 27c | 21,360$5,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,698.16 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 14c | 14,529$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.04 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 79c | 12,581$9,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.81 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 7,461$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 74c | 4,060$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.81 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x028f…f5abbacked Yes | 76c | 3,418$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.43 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed Yes | 76c | 3,282$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.19 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 71c | 3,000$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 66c | 2,712$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 18c | 2,582$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.41 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 28c | 2,547$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.84 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 28c | 2,298$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.24 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked Yes | 75c | 2,005$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c0…a976backed Yes | 77c | 1,972$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 12c | 1,820$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.41 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 78c | 1,110$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.78 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 76c | 869.07$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 66c | 811$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.41 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…39c9backed Yes | 67c | 760$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.35 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 666.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.24 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 67c | 650$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a2…7bb3backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1099…903cbacked Yes | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274a…3f46backed Yes | 69c | 362.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…c1a5backed No | 12c | 340$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d0…6b56backed Yes | 71c | 281.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 15c | 260$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 20c | 235$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 23c | 222$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…efa0backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…ff32backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe51…f115backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…c75cbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…4000backed Yes | 72c | 139.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 34c | 116$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9477…f416backed Yes | 77c | 112.39$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…4351backed Yes | 77c | 93.09$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de7…45bbbacked Yes | 65c | 72.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…16c0backed No | 24c | 64.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…7ab7backed Yes | 77c | 60.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe890…be33backed Yes | 63c | 36.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9313…9140backed Yes | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…1815backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 70c | 29.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…0358backed Yes | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 61 | 88.5%54 W · 7 L | +16.9wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…dbc6backed Yes | 77c | 23.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ef…88fdbacked Yes | 77c | 18.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8810…b214backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $160 in July?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $200 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $205 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $220 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.