TailMyPicks
Market

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $170 in July?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$299,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$323,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,350 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb68a…c568backed No26c29,591$7,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,584.4622216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca75…657fbacked Yes77c27,029$20,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,229.393240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes66c13,258$8,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,451.7163835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No13c13,036$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.2112736.2%46 W · 81 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No0c12,257$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.261,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…eb5fbacked Yes53c8,442$4,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,967.971136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick26cpaid-23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dee…a0f4backed No23c7,444$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.421323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-35.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked No21c5,236$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.2515023.3%35 W · 115 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No24c3,800$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91237745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe362…7430backed Yes45c3,600$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.991225%3 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes64c3,348$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.487949.4%39 W · 40 L+10.2wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4851…1e94backed No57c3,261$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.552548%12 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed No53c3,230$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.144450%22 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes72c3,000$2,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.6614075.7%106 W · 34 L+17.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb8f9…55f0backed Yes79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes70c2,773$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.2155032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b52…4db0backed No21c2,747$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.86053.3%32 W · 28 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x028f…f5abbacked No32c2,495$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.191330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-56%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f1b…d367backed Yes76c1,991$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.371850%9 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2e…13cbbacked No18c1,867$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.351233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e1e…a7afbacked No24c1,700$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4154143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes75c1,406$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.029041.1%37 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2763…7776backed No50c1,400$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.013633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes59c1,377$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.823821.1%8 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No21c1,148$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3164812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6df0…2bfcbacked No25c1,110$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.33756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x08d7…0eecbacked No53c1,075$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.961346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd86c…98aabacked No49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.84667.4%31 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8252…e65cbacked No13c1,012$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.952114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d74…ee45backed No27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf68…3fdebacked Yes55c930$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.541921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadd9…e1d2backed Yes62c893.66$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1d63backed No24c800$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.57229.2%21 W · 51 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce10…51d4backed No58c689.66$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008038.8%31 W · 49 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cdc…ae37backed No17c651.32$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105822.4%13 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked No13c645$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.235545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3fbe…1c89backed Yes66c627.95$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.441931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-30.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa366…54efbacked No24c600$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.515754.8%86 W · 71 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes69c570.3$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.421546.7%7 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-34.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes53c569.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.453336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca21…efa0backed Yes60c568.52$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.451060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe074…16c0backed No18c446.59$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.15100%0 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaeee…f065backed No24c415.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.741942.1%8 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick23cpaid+202.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008540%34 W · 51 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbabd…3335backed No24c394.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.221236.8%78 W · 134 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb74f…a762backed Yes75c331.72$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.72922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid+38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1f9…5b74backed Yes72c320.55$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11711442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d4…64aebacked No13c289.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.676026.7%16 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0b9…6048backed No39c282$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.82040%8 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d71…078bbacked No54c272.22$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14720%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed No29c239.94$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2558126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf65e…3850backed No21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503528.6%10 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a9…282abacked Yes48c209.02$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4775…c57dbacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004216.7%7 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64bd…6a4ebacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4178…0de1backed Yes57c175$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.256100%6 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+238.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6a26…8acbbacked No23c154.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357139.4%28 W · 43 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3762…7ff4backed Yes69c145.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb715…b209backed Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf709…c75cbacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fa…61a0backed No27c112.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7704…6115backed No50c105.96$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes77c105.09$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.47540%30 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf806…9762backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d7c…cb0cbacked No24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607219.4%14 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa4…1334backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fff…2e36backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed7…39b5backed Yes57c90$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce4f…ceaabacked No12c83.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1b…0f84backed Yes79c81.18$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.761346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d5f…c1a5backed No25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8458…a550backed Yes69c79.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…205bbacked No41c77.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.683351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x757b…25c2backed No17c74.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes60c74.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7930531.1%95 W · 210 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4da6…f920backed No20c65.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe890…be33backed Yes41c65.12$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc52…11f6backed No20c60.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.13571.4%25 W · 10 L+7.9wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+48.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x608c…39c9backed Yes58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.092454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9d…a540backed No50c58.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.392045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f6…8160backed No26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8477…f652backed No42c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.352045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x852c…c705backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c7…3e93backed No59c45.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85f…a603backed Yes49c43.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.98560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98ce…3ee9backed Yes75c41.71$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+109.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad21…cefcbacked No51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x628b…b84fbacked Yes77c31.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.17650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa756…cf30backed Yes78c30.77$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0da7…ca6cbacked Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b4d…f7dbbacked No48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd310…be53backed Yes74c29.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.756777.6%52 W · 15 L+12.1wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x19b7…f262backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa785…1e59backed No55c26.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd0b…41febacked Yes52c21.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes75c20.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9732524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c17…237cbacked Yes66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.