TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $140 in July?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$393,504
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$410,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,504 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb68a…c568backed Yes12c80,162$9,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,594.6722216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes0c15,984$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.982290%0 W · 229 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f3c…5613backed No72c14,814$10,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fcd…c2acbacked Yes17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed No67c8,410$5,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.5363835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No29c8,072$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,738.6512736.2%46 W · 81 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes74c5,109$3,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,794.831662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c4,180$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.011,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d7…3d6bbacked No72c3,787$2,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.333154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e2d…1039backed Yes2c2,966$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes25c2,859$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.5555032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…50c7backed Yes7c2,617$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191336.1%2 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-82.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b52…4db0backed No27c2,019$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.776053.3%32 W · 28 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30c0…a976backed No72c1,785$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.79475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca75…657fbacked Yes59c1,692$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x410c…b808backed Yes1c1,463$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-58.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked No48c1,390$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.8715023.3%35 W · 115 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd031…b594backed No33c1,383$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.83941%16 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd2…d91ebacked Yes75c1,281$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.663060%18 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca53…2dffbacked No73c1,257$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes19c1,248$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8358126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69eb…46e5backed Yes70c1,100$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7654231%13 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…d6f7backed Yes9c1,053$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No36c1,042$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.033821.1%8 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes4c1,031$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-49.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a2…57febacked No69c870$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.54273.8%31 W · 11 L+13.6wins+0.32per pick41cpaid+109.3%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x5599…98c3backed No75c860.85$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.412634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce10…51d4backed No75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008038.8%31 W · 49 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x247e…128fbacked No35c800$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No37c790.98$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.319041.1%37 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50d7…be03backed Yes6c714.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dae…70aebacked Yes21c686.98$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x028f…f5abbacked Yes68c633.01$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.781330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-56%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked No69c600$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6211442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed No61c596.41$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.142850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d5…14ebbacked Yes2c584.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df0…2bfcbacked No65c545$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.953756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d74…ee45backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…c11dbacked No36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3202450%12 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf68…3fdebacked No30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x274a…3f46backed Yes55c454.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed No57c426.53$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.419054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Yes73c397.24$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79b7…486cbacked Yes69c390$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.71250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked No71c327$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.193246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed Yes30c320$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8477…f652backed No24c320$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.22045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca21…efa0backed Yes18c305.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d38…b49cbacked Yes18c271.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc605…8a53backed Yes5c235$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1032…8f91backed Yes63c233$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.883847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1930…652ebacked Yes73c205.64$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a57…493ebacked No69c203.9$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d8…ff32backed Yes70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402560%15 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1099…903cbacked No34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1324100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+81.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28da…b97dbacked Yes7c199.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143240.6%13 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked No26c187$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.385545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3762…7ff4backed Yes76c183.6$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.43425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6620…1836backed Yes10c180$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16f0…aba5backed Yes76c174$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.946543.1%28 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x273c…bec5backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd325…a3bcbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2763…7776backed No31c140$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.293633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39f…860ebacked No65c139.62$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf442…2732backed Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08d7…0eecbacked Yes74c134.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb07f…4000backed Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9477…f416backed Yes61c132.44$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.79540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4eee…2782backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x758b…4351backed Yes61c95.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd310…be53backed No58c92.66$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.276777.6%52 W · 15 L+12.1wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes18c92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5664812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c29…7ab7backed Yes61c74.66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b7…f262backed Yes56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe074…16c0backed Yes45c66.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.17100%0 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6098…126ebacked No75c63.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5f…c1a5backed Yes25c61.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa7e…f37ebacked No62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.82055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbabd…3335backed No41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.321236.8%78 W · 134 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecb1…433ebacked No24c51.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+180.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad2a…9dfbbacked No36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-27.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b6…af8bbacked No28c48.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0314075.7%106 W · 34 L+17.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x757b…25c2backed Yes34c46.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fa…383ebacked No27c44.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf76d…cf91backed No68c37.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.914100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47b7…c5babacked Yes68c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251520%3 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb715…b209backed Yes29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed No70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917953.6%96 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8b…6fc5backed No64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.83675%27 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fff…2e36backed No66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa520…dbc6backed Yes61c27.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19bc…0358backed No65c23.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.326188.5%54 W · 7 L+16.9wins+0.28per pick61cpaid+55.3%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x9f87…eb34backed Yes75c23.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd31e…57aabacked Yes76c21.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…c3a1backed Yes75c21.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe890…be33backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b4d…f7dbbacked Yes63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecd…95a6backed No76c14.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.