Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $220 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x640890f1c4becc284913205b3247ca259bb18959ead40134c241bf6ac62f3549
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f67…2fd3backed Yes | 0c | 21,283$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 18c | 10,412$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.41 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1b…d367backed Yes | 12c | 6,719$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 4c | 6,040$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.26 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 5,208$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes | 7c | 2,569$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.84 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…9dafbacked No | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,935$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.79 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…a77ebacked No | 78c | 1,874$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…96a7backed Yes | 6c | 1,699$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.95 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…862fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,144$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…76a2backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…ccdbbacked No | 71c | 999.34$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f71…912dbacked Yes | 4c | 985.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 70c | 888.23$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.92 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 11c | 787.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08b…9d23backed Yes | 6c | 636.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900a…bb70backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…bbc7backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b8…b619backed Yes | 2c | 455$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…e26dbacked Yes | 5c | 454.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed Yes | 4c | 349.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…f0f5backed Yes | 6c | 310.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked Yes | 8c | 288.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +269.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf318…4600backed Yes | 4c | 254$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…e09fbacked Yes | 9c | 218.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…36d2backed Yes | 41c | 207.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…cb0cbacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb626…e223backed No | 53c | 186.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b6…9adfbacked No | 57c | 145.51$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 27c | 134.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf14c…4e18backed Yes | 21c | 71.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked No | 77c | 58.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…55dabacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $220 in July?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $170 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $200 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $205 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.