Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $210 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0be6269ad22620908266709564990539afec10437a2cde221c7dd3a31e871ccf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 26c | 6,656$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.2 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 1c | 5,773$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,690$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 79c | 3,491$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.52 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…11afbacked Yes | 53c | 2,834$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…6ec5backed No | 74c | 2,122$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Yes | 33c | 1,855$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,620$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.25 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…ccdbbacked No | 67c | 1,149$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 68c | 1,134$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.12 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4282…df90backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8e6dbacked Yes | 20c | 986.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1b…d367backed No | 60c | 758.05$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed No | 61c | 706.13$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.39 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +269.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 12c | 641.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…4a62backed Yes | 7c | 568.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 15c | 558.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…28e9backed No | 69c | 554.16$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.81 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…7492backed Yes | 12c | 450$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…775fbacked Yes | 25c | 404$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…e09fbacked Yes | 18c | 398.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…44f5backed Yes | 8c | 360$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Yes | 28c | 357.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 74c | 349.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…be03backed Yes | 13c | 346.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…c5c5backed Yes | 22c | 309.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 61c | 303.14$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.98 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d9…04e2backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…9889backed Yes | 22c | 282.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b6…9adfbacked No | 74c | 276.65$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8663…25d5backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…0bdbbacked Yes | 24c | 209.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…96a7backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…c11dbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd860…693dbacked Yes | 53c | 191.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…b094backed Yes | 12c | 183.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 13c | 152.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…1194backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c1…c762backed Yes | 17c | 151.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…ca6cbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…034ebacked No | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 114.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6d…4e53backed No | 71c | 113.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Yes | 26c | 108.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…4301backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…5fe3backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9be…6252backed Yes | 48c | 86.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…624abacked Yes | 53c | 74.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…7ef4backed No | 76c | 73.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21bc…c387backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…504abacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20a…1c17backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…ab68backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…0e67backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…0d72backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0842…4658backed No | 79c | 36.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…bfb1backed Yes | 80c | 31.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…4f53backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…d8d3backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c5…79e0backed No | 78c | 23.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x396e…a7d6backed No | 77c | 21.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…49d8backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…30b2backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $210 in July?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $170 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $200 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $205 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $220 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.