Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $120 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8bb2bb72a4ec015d2e71b529051cfd96a9fafa67e06d5c52dad974b75ba8ade
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 13c | 55,911$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450.04 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…ce1bbacked Yes | 18c | 23,147$4,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,203.2 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…50c7backed Yes | 5c | 12,391$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.58 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 15c | 10,565$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.32 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 14c | 8,413$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.1 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…dfd1backed Yes | 25c | 8,195$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba3…13dabacked Yes | 24c | 8,036$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1b…d367backed No | 75c | 6,381$4,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked No | 78c | 5,812$4,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.46 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 79c | 4,688$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.84 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 14c | 4,571$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.8 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,490$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f93…e7a5backed Yes | 2c | 2,043$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd36e…f9adbacked Yes | 1c | 1,514$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…2dbfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…16dfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,295$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…2cf1backed No | 77c | 515$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.45 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 21c | 500$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1099…903cbacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 19c | 499.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1444…b5d0backed Yes | 2c | 469$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4275…f5febacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4090…57cbbacked No | 76c | 428.95$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ac…7935backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes | 26c | 283.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d0…6b56backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7341…0cd0backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…ccbebacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b1…3bcabacked No | 76c | 222$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc281…e079backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…ca8dbacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…71b6backed No | 79c | 126.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…3264backed No | 80c | 126.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8477…f652backed No | 74c | 114$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +519.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x936d…5c15backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08d7…0eecbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…6d6cbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6995…99f9backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…2330backed No | 78c | 97.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8af…57e3backed Yes | 28c | 96.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…a025backed No | 74c | 85.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…8404backed No | 80c | 84.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…e589backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…cba3backed No | 80c | 68.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…c1bcbacked No | 74c | 60.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 27c | 60.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7f…9941backed No | 80c | 58.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa94…76eabacked No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…a246backed No | 80c | 46.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…126ebacked No | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…fc99backed No | 77c | 41.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed Yes | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…b527backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x158e…9b25backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87d…a580backed No | 77c | 37.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6440…85e2backed No | 80c | 32.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…7d42backed No | 80c | 32.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…f0c4backed No | 80c | 32.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d8…762dbacked No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5d…909abacked No | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd3…de97backed No | 74c | 28.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf582…4d4bbacked No | 78c | 26.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab9…cbc0backed No | 77c | 26.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…a03fbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02e…bb20backed No | 78c | 19.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe890…be33backed No | 73c | 18.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $120 in July?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in July?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $170 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $200 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $205 in July?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $210 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $220 in July?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.