TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $250 in July?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$956,131
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$863,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $956,131 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x615e…5295backed Yes3c42,705$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.992270.9%2 W · 225 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes4c41,214$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.8715023.3%35 W · 115 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes5c40,419$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.443821.1%8 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20f9…4cdbbacked Yes4c39,869$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.0940%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa656…f78dbacked Yes3c33,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+76.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93c…689cbacked Yes6c23,730$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef47…d287backed Yes0c17,400$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x046a…d5edbacked Yes0c16,400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c14,975$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.911,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes2c13,633$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.812920.7%6 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick9cpaid+269.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes3c13,156$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.167328.8%21 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96e2…d8f6backed Yes2c13,078$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+94%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3662…e459backed Yes4c12,709$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a85…fe9dbacked Yes3c12,251$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.631010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-61.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa51a…4e7fbacked Yes0c12,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Yes5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes0c9,673$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.342290%0 W · 229 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0921…263ebacked Yes3c8,469$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.74368.3%3 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe47…3e2fbacked Yes3c8,250$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x621c…1b36backed Yes6c8,155$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6720…62c3backed Yes2c7,140$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes4c6,866$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.6558126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x199c…4d76backed Yes0c6,311$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0276…19d8backed Yes3c6,153$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001931.6%6 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick20cpaid+64.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe08b…9d23backed Yes7c5,848$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fd5…87fdbacked Yes14c5,453$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd36e…f9adbacked Yes2c5,330$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e07…efe0backed Yes10c4,152$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.64320%0 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed Yes3c4,000$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.05330%0 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e2d…1039backed Yes1c3,917$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes1c3,881$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.396311.1%7 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick4cpaid+519.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cdd…1fedbacked Yes10c3,609$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.1830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes8c3,560$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.8555032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x667f…ccbebacked Yes3c3,454$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052714.8%4 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed Yes7c3,351$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.1122216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb78b…5d40backed Yes4c3,281$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca75…657fbacked Yes15c3,281$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.573240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3aa3…25a2backed Yes8c3,028$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b26…9bc4backed Yes3c2,449$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.991414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes4c2,421$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.563458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe264…7a75backed Yes4c2,358$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001625%4 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c7…2d5abacked Yes6c2,330$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes11c2,192$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9864812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ec5…6bcfbacked Yes2c2,154$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.17156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-90%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f71…912dbacked Yes4c2,100$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.25695.8%4 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c4e…79e3backed Yes5c2,020$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes2c1,739$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes7c1,716$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1232524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2216…4accbacked Yes3c1,589$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ca…0311backed Yes12c1,585$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf8aa…1342backed Yes2c1,499$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.48540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1b…0f84backed Yes3c1,495$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.491346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes3c1,471$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-78.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f14…333fbacked Yes17c1,349$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+67.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f0…d33dbacked Yes8c1,308$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.62306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-84.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a38…360bbacked Yes7c1,211$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.661165.2%6 W · 110 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-77.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4275…f5febacked Yes2c1,180$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…8360backed Yes1c1,100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa1d…261abacked Yes9c1,068$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd078…1614backed Yes2c1,025$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.61816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b1b…97a5backed Yes5c1,018$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8928…5fe3backed Yes2c999.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes8c967.74$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.262317.4%4 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…96a7backed Yes3c959.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.943122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes4c956.85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.11060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf252…8208backed Yes4c947.37$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2dc…b090backed Yes2c918.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe04…9a42backed Yes2c869.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203435.3%12 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb38d…cb53backed Yes2c859.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d34…17e8backed Yes4c767.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33110%0 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cd…900abacked Yes3c750.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a5…5638backed Yes3c740.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Yes3c740.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c85…6e31backed Yes3c708.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4228…bc70backed Yes15c703.03$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d81…9a28backed Yes5c667.05$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c3…3642backed Yes3c630$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85cf…51e8backed Yes4c622.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222412.5%3 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…6a7cbacked Yes10c619.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602313%3 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x264c…ab11backed Yes4c568$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x751e…061ebacked Yes4c560$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc1…1173backed Yes4c556.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-29.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba4…55e9backed Yes6c546.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35110%0 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7d…eb3abacked Yes3c523$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1916…b8edbacked Yes4c512.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4a0…8868backed Yes4c512.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes2c505$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.212615.4%4 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick8cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ba2…4f27backed Yes3c500$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d51…57d3backed Yes3c490$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc80…8349backed Yes4c486$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.03425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf584…76a2backed Yes4c476.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202040%8 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+58.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d91…64cebacked Yes4c463$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x539a…0d4abacked Yes2c451.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76db…7cb6backed Yes4c442.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf14c…4e18backed Yes5c440.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8525…7adcbacked Yes3c432.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefdb…7358backed Yes3c430$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4775…c57dbacked Yes14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.64216.7%7 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88e8…8937backed Yes12c396$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes6c394.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.32147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-78.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.