MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd5536de2f2755f2e04ca4c8aeb84f0006590feb69e6dcd3f14d87c3668de48e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Pirates, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $456,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $535,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Pirates | 49c | 212,368$104,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,004.55 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners | 51c | 120,136$61,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,688.79 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mariners | 51c | 30,296$15,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,854.96 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Mariners | 51c | 23,913$12,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,717.37 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Mariners | 65c | 15,598$10,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.32 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Mariners | 59c | 13,343$7,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,420.88 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Pirates | 38c | 13,299$5,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.57 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 42c | 12,497$5,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 29c | 12,066$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.03 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 40c | 10,870$4,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,329.67 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mariners | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mariners | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Mariners | 52c | 7,753$4,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,706.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mariners | 53c | 7,694$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,615.25 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 45c | 6,825$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.29 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 58c | 4,777$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.17 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 39c | 4,543$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.88 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 51c | 4,261$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.59 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Mariners | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Pirates | 49c | 3,988$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.12 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners | 51c | 3,840$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.3 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mariners | 62c | 3,289$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c7…e344backed Mariners | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Pirates | 51c | 2,948$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mariners | 52c | 2,263$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.52 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…4788backed Pirates | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Pirates | 48c | 1,930$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.4 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 38c | 1,818$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.64 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 39c | 1,757$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.41 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mariners | 57c | 1,755$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.6 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Pirates | 47c | 1,690$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Mariners | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Pirates | 49c | 1,500$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.51 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Mariners | 55c | 1,479$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.48 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pirates | 48c | 1,454$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.1 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 51c | 1,387$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.28 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…c8babacked Mariners | 50c | 1,325$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4d…9871backed Pirates | 50c | 1,325$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mariners | 61c | 1,269$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.91 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Pirates | 25c | 1,142$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.09 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 31c | 1,078$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.53 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Mariners | 58c | 1,031$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.57 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Mariners | 52c | 970$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.4 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mariners | 55c | 911.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.9 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Mariners | 62c | 858.32$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.15 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…0ab2backed Mariners | 76c | 846.2$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Pirates | 36c | 837.91$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.87 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Pirates | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Pirates | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Pirates | 48c | 775$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 29c | 758.56$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.99 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Pirates | 50c | 755.92$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.96 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pirates | 34c | 736.7$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.74 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Mariners | 60c | 666$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pirates | 6c | 575.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Pirates | 3c | 539.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Mariners | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 51c | 511.57$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.36 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 61c | 507.7$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Pirates | 46c | 497.66$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.56 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Pirates | 40c | 465.57$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Pirates | 32c | 461.74$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.21 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…cf94backed Pirates | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 77c | 454.29$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 47c | 450$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pirates | 3c | 434$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Pirates | 50c | 424.52$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.26 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Pirates | 47c | 422.15$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Pirates | 50c | 399.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a140backed Pirates | 42c | 353.57$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Pirates | 16c | 344.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pirates | 47c | 319.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Pirates | 18c | 317.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Pirates | 14c | 309.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 43c | 297$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.71 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Pirates | 46c | 261.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 52c | 252$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pirates | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Pirates | 49c | 228.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Pirates | 44c | 208.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Pirates | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates | 45c | 198.13$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Mariners | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Mariners | 77c | 176.62$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Pirates | 11c | 165$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Pirates | 41c | 160.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Mariners | 51c | 158.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Mariners | 56c | 157.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Pirates | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Pirates | 35c | 144.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mariners | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed Pirates | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.