Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba373cb435136179b7f59355dc362d1c8ca521d02e47ad259fcc74958585b6c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,442,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,892,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,442,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f1d…63d9backed No | 18c | 1,180,384$210,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210,708.09 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e9…e1a1backed Yes | 79c | 302,608$239,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,742.23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x028f…f5abbacked Yes | 79c | 46,106$36,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,543.22 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…98ebbacked Yes | 65c | 27,822$18,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.42 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 71c | 23,306$16,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,752.8 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…b3c0backed Yes | 77c | 21,723$16,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,018.41 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…29ccbacked Yes | 79c | 18,031$14,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef47…d287backed No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046a…d5edbacked No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 23c | 10,731$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d9…c904backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 76c | 9,919$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Yes | 37c | 9,876$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,212.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 55c | 9,442$5,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,270.08 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…f908backed Yes | 79c | 8,891$6,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d1…a4fbbacked Yes | 75c | 6,632$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked Yes | 19c | 6,475$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,233.85 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9296…68a1backed No | 28c | 6,374$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 71c | 6,238$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.09 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Yes | 26c | 6,137$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,562.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 38c | 5,954$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.66 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 76c | 5,848$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.73 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f3…d803backed Yes | 74c | 5,694$4,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 26c | 5,690$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.9 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 74c | 5,600$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…e2c0backed Yes | 14c | 5,000$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,318.5 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 15c | 5,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed Yes | 52c | 4,185$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.4 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked No | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3581…3c1bbacked No | 49c | 3,741$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.45 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 50c | 3,739$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 20c | 3,320$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.2 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…0b7bbacked Yes | 72c | 3,045$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34f…d79cbacked Yes | 77c | 2,704$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff62…1148backed No | 41c | 2,500$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.17 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 22c | 2,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 13c | 2,299$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.4 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed Yes | 78c | 2,285$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.95 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed No | 18c | 2,234$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 57c | 2,185$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Yes | 79c | 2,145$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…918abacked Yes | 78c | 2,024$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf9…cffdbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9197…08d4backed Yes | 76c | 1,800$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653a…bb03backed No | 55c | 1,765$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…c064backed No | 34c | 1,741$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.75 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…4925backed Yes | 71c | 1,694$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed No | 29c | 1,600$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Yes | 58c | 1,588$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae7…991cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,577$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 23c | 1,531$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.88 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 23c | 1,500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Yes | 34c | 1,480$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.44 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…6707backed Yes | 66c | 1,416$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 39c | 1,354$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.36 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 78c | 1,335$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.57 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…75d1backed No | 60c | 1,282$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,280$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…d1d5backed Yes | 74c | 1,145$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked No | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Yes | 22c | 1,100$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…de3abacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.67 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…9223backed Yes | 13c | 988.15$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Yes | 15c | 962.09$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9596…b1e4backed Yes | 79c | 952.99$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed No | 11c | 946.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75f9…dbb0backed Yes | 80c | 921.23$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Yes | 55c | 884.66$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b30…48a8backed No | 26c | 819.97$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf987…f3afbacked Yes | 41c | 678.85$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x107c…5f0fbacked Yes | 75c | 667.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…0f23backed Yes | 46c | 657.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 49c | 653.42$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.43 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Yes | 75c | 600$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f4…7700backed Yes | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee6…cda0backed Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +158.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bce…0cb0backed Yes | 78c | 501$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…728ebacked Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1e50backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf662…3e84backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 46c | 492.45$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.55 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Yes | 79c | 463.46$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…d0c5backed Yes | 29c | 450$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…40b1backed Yes | 44c | 438.42$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed No | 38c | 423.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.68 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…aa60backed Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…f272backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 57c | 413.46$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.99 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Yes | 76c | 406.7$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Yes | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…3eaabacked Yes | 28c | 400$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…2afdbacked Yes | 53c | 380$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…66a6backed Yes | 64c | 376$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5321…1af2backed Yes | 11c | 366.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +536.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…7482backed No | 26c | 363.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…f9efbacked Yes | 48c | 362.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 28c | 357.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?this page
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100K and $102K on June 27?No won
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on June 27?No won
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 27?No won
- Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $100K on June 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.