Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $100K on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc35476f5260f185ed61eb98f0df828fc039b6b2dc0b6608dc75f743988b283f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $413,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $407,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf543…c0b6backed Yes | 51c | 52,950$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…63d9backed Yes | 1c | 24,992$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.23 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…98ebbacked Yes | 41c | 15,767$6,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,517.08 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 28c | 12,399$3,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.48 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Yes | 16c | 7,704$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,980$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 1c | 5,518$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 5,237$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 48c | 5,000$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…e2c0backed Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.32 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed No | 48c | 4,248$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.45 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x512c…d419backed Yes | 10c | 4,179$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.61 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,172$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…e78ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,034$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked No | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 7c | 3,563$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.64 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 69c | 3,508$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…de3abacked No | 53c | 3,381$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.54 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…c064backed Yes | 3c | 3,206$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 53c | 3,200$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.34 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…fea3backed Yes | 17c | 2,920$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111b…fdffbacked Yes | 1c | 2,832$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 15c | 2,452$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.28 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae7…991cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,230$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 1,682$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.18 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,670$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc184…4cc0backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 1c | 1,458$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x028f…f5abbacked No | 80c | 1,440$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.03 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 50c | 1,288$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.73 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…ccfebacked Yes | 1c | 1,135$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 65c | 1,111$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.43 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Yes | 11c | 1,047$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 5c | 1,018$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…6707backed No | 76c | 957.12$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee6…cda0backed Yes | 3c | 899.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +158.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…b026backed Yes | 3c | 888.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…c089backed Yes | 3c | 863.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Yes | 37c | 796.86$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.63 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 750.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d9…8806backed Yes | 3c | 688.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…0331backed Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ad…a413backed Yes | 3c | 642.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…9917backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3581…3c1bbacked No | 61c | 485$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.39 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da5…9c11backed Yes | 7c | 476.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…80ddbacked Yes | 7c | 462$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed Yes | 6c | 460$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…f9efbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 74c | 400$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked No | 57c | 400$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…3eaabacked Yes | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…f554backed No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…afd0backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes | 3c | 316.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Yes | 14c | 309.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 4c | 267.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…b90fbacked No | 49c | 265.52$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54eb…0371backed Yes | 4c | 260$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fe…d4e7backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…e142backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…f43dbacked No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +240.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…cf55backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1938…8e37backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad3…8448backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4755…9e4cbacked Yes | 9c | 116$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d9dbbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…4ffabacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8f…144dbacked Yes | 23c | 92.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…8db5backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…9b12backed No | 52c | 75.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…c3f5backed No | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49cd…ee4abacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 54c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…0358backed No | 64c | 37.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 61 | 88.5%54 W · 7 L | +16.9wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x6b81…36c1backed Yes | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a38…f931backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…7078backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…b2b6backed Yes | 53c | 20.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $100K on June 27?this page
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100K and $102K on June 27?No won
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on June 27?No won
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 27?No won
- Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.