AI · resolved market
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1edd79d7a3b1586807f23f70609db7839e3717c6adaeb099f8de2bd48a6b079b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 8,253$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 1c | 6,017$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 78c | 2,205$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.57 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d5…a273backed Yes | 35c | 1,781$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +233.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 27c | 754.75$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.35 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…087fbacked Yes | 35c | 706.3$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 32c | 659.86$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.84 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes | 47c | 633.88$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.93 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 25c | 516.05$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.2 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b2…07adbacked No | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 72c | 399.98$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.63 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes | 24c | 392$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.92 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed Yes | 26c | 377.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…5eaabacked Yes | 31c | 346.87$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed Yes | 34c | 240$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 15c | 237$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.45 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 63c | 231.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.86 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 24c | 228.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.31 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed No | 66c | 224$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.69 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 69c | 200$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.95 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…f1f2backed No | 76c | 188$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +223.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 75c | 187$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 71c | 179$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.88 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 38c | 164$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Yes | 18c | 146.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.37per pick | 27cpaid | +226%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed Yes | 17c | 146$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x069a…4634backed Yes | 31c | 134.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +915.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes | 25c | 129.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 18c | 113.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.21 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9178backed Yes | 23c | 113.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…1d08backed Yes | 25c | 110$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed No | 75c | 107$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…cd12backed Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed No | 76c | 103$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked No | 76c | 101$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…9bfabacked No | 75c | 101$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…652abacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8702backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…5bb1backed Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 95.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…ffa3backed Yes | 24c | 93.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 61c | 86.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 66c | 79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed Yes | 25c | 67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked No | 74c | 59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 70c | 55.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb757…e2a0backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked Yes | 34c | 47.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +109%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 27c | 46.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 34c | 43.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 68c | 40.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299e…129ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…510dbacked Yes | 34c | 32.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 67c | 32.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c472backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…079cbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…27e2backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 65c | 27.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 62c | 27.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 51c | 19.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?this page
- Will Caitlin Clark be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No won
- Will Cal Raleigh be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No won
- Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No won
- Will Jake Paul be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No won
- Will João Fonseca be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappé be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No won
- Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No won
- Will Luka Dončić be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No won
- Will Naomi Osaka be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No won
- Will Ousmane Dembélé be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No won
- Will Shedeur Sanders be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No won
- Will Shohei Ohtani be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No won
- Will Simone Biles be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No won
- Will Travis Kelce be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No won
- Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No won
- Will: Canelo Alvarez be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.